Page 144 - Computer Models News Today

Now as we close in on the landfall the next day and a half. new orleans really looks like where the storm is heading. notice that mobile is not in the cone. neither is pensacola nor panama city. because the storm is so huge, approaching at you from the south, the storm surge will be very impressive, well away from that center. even though its only a hurricane category 1 predicted at landfall, thats the change from last night, they were saying category 2, now it looks like category 1. intensity f...

And the night will end with a prime time speech by the candidates wife ann romney. that should be good. >> yeah. >> first lets go to bill karins, meteorologist bill karins with an update on the hurricane. bill? >> tampa has caught a little bit of a break as youve seen down there, a little windy, a little rainy. this storm is heading towards new orleans and thats the concern thats developed over the weekend and continue to gotten worse. the storm is located off the west coast of florida. still ha...

>> folks in tampa could see a surge three to five feet and could put things underwater a little bit. were concerned about florida, but im very concerned about the northern gulf coast, including the city of new orleans because more and more of the computer models is moving westward. more of the northern gulf coast is in the bulls eye for possibly a major hurricane in the next couple of days, so, you know, i just want to make folks alert. florida yes, certainly, you need to be on alert the next 24...

And some language out from the national earthquake had center saying that this could be stronger and we could be dealing with a major hurricane and as we go into thursday, a tropical storm. just real quick, here is one of our computer models, what we are forecasting in terms of rain. and so, certainly, over a foot perhaps for south florida, but look at this, guys, over tinche including new orleans, that water could pile up into lake ponchartrain and this could be a very bad situation so i need f...

Why are we concerned about the storm? the storm is going to be pulling away from land. over the last 48 hours, haiti and the island of cuba have minimized the chance for the storm to get larger and stronger. notice the water temperatures. mid 80s across the central gulf. favorable conditions for strengthens, but the caveat is its a big storm. it takes big storms longer to crank up than it does a small storm. thats why the hurricane center is saying category 2. my rule of thumb is assume one cate...

Right side is the worse storm surge. to the right is where you dont want to be. the backside of the storm usually isnt that bad. thats kind of the pinpointing of it. the thing that still concerns me is these little squiggly lines, these are our computer models telling us where they think the storm will head. only one bends into north florida. all the other ones really close to new orleans. the worst track scenario for new orleans, for any type of storm, regardless of intensity is just to the sou...

Louisiana coastline. i think the path may be shifted slightly to the west, but probably not a lot for the 5:00 update coming later. heres what all of the computer models are saying. they have seemed to very much be pin pointing the state of louisiana with the strong side of the storm being into mississippi and southern alabama. the yellow line, alex, that actually is one of our more dependable computers. our european computer model. that update will be coming in shortly. if that switches to the ...

Approaching areas from mobile to new orleans, they wont be able to win tuesday night either. the latest with the storm. we have a possibility of storms in south florida. a strong tropical storm through the keys in south florida. by florida standards, they probably get one every year. not a huge ordeal, you have to cancel your plans for today, but not a devastating blow for south florida. intensifying for the keys. key to the forecast. the potential for what isaac could become, not what it is rig...

It makes it up to the northern gulf. notice the cone of uncertainty involves tampa and outside of new orleans. we have a margin of error there. our computer models have centered in somewhere around panama city/pensacola in the northern florida gulf. some of our lines have moved a little west so if youre in coastal mississippi, alabama, definitely mobile bay, gulf port, biloxi, even new orleans. i think new orleans will be okay, but keep an eye on the storm. we dont want anything fishy to happen....

11:00. sometimes we get that early. you know what? well break in and bring it to you. there is our track of earlier this morning. new track at 11:00. making its way across hispaniola and then cuba. well have to see what type of core it has after it makes its way across land. it will weaken but if it does have a core intact the waters here are incredibly warm, 90 degrees. that is huge octane fuel for the storm. as we head further out in time were dealing with a hurricane. ill tell you if this sto...