Page 75 - Computer Models News Today

Was. we thought it was going to go over puerto rico. it went north of puerto rico. so i will tell you olive reliable forecast models that we look at, theres a lot of question marks. so i want everyone along the east coast of florida to pay close attention. this is not just an easy forecast. the fact that its going to slow down, when does it slow down? were at 8 miles per hour right now, barreling westward. when does it move northward? i cant really give you a good indication of that. so i need e...

Turn to the north. they still have it about 100 miles off the east coast of florida. they still have the cone of uncertainty, still includes palm beach, moves up melbourne, the space coast, volusia county, back up to jacksonville. then they still have the cone through coastal areas of carolinas. we havent crossed anybody out of this. they still think if its off the coast, it could be a category 2 hurricane all the way up to carolina. our computer models, some of them are offshore, but we have en...

As they went through the eye. it looks like an eft 2 or ef-3 tornado have gone through. were roughly about 180, 181 miles due east of west palm beach. were closing in on freeport. its roughly about 70 miles away from freeport. heres the latest path. the newest is coming out this hour. the stall and slow movement is the story. thats why the destruction is going to be so much worse throughout areas from grand bahama island. tonight and tomorrow in freeport. then we take it along the coast. all the...

Models are also off the coastline. as far as our friends go farther up the north, the cone of uncertainty goes through coastal georgia, half of south carolina and north carolina, parts of richmond and include southern portions of new jersey and delaware and maryland. by the time it got there, it would likely be a category 1 if not weaker up towards delmarva. but this is the area of concern. certainly why evacuation orders are in south carolina here. we think the storm will be very close here, 10...

Models, all the squiggly lines. this is the canadian model and it makes it into florida and it was into florida earlier today, a little further off the coast but then that will move on shore after this. up towards jacksonville area. the other computer models are off the coastline so thats good news there. then we havent forgotten about our friends further to the north pause youre preparing for wednesday, thursday possibly into friday here with the hurricane conditions along the coast. yes, it wo...

The hurricane center red line is what they think the most accurate path is going to be. but it still could be to the right in the cone or to the left. so we still have west palm beach in the cone. i mean, you know, its maybe only a 10, 15% chance of happening but that western eyewall could make it to the beaches of florida. thats why were preparing for that just in case. then look at how close this is, this window here of just off the shore. the key is not getting into the eye. thats where the e...

>> lets talk more about it now with our meteorologist karen maginnis in the international weather center. karen? >> this is such a ferocious hurricane, and weve been telling people across the florida peninsula for days to gas up, make sure your home is secure, make sure that if anyone needs your help, that thats available to them as well. this is a ferocious system that is also frustrating. ill tell you why. right now were looking at this system that has supporting winds of 140 miles per hour wi...

Is will slow down. thats even worse, for the people in the bahamas who are waiting for this potentially catastrophic hurricane, this is nail-biting time. but then the folks who have made all of the preparations up and down the florida peninsula, along that east coast, all the way from jacksonville, amelia island, the space coast, the treasurer coast, the gold coast, this has been really a very interesting last 24 to 72 hours. when might it make land fall across the coast of florida? it might in ...

It is still a category 4 hurricane. the winds are the same. its moving to the west-northwest. but here is the big takeaway from hurricane dorian. the takeaway is, from the spaghetti models that are all together, but now its less definitive about where that landfall may or may not take place. some of these computer models are bringing it in, right along the central south carolina coast. maybe right along the south carolina/georgia coast. maybe it will brush by the space coast. thats certainly pos...

Apples kpirz. think about the track of hurricane matthew in october of 2016 riding parallel with the east coast of florida. now think about what dorian is doing. its approaching from the east to the west, meaning its running perpendicular to the shoreline when it approaches. and then we are relying on it to make the right hand turn. we are literally relying on expert meteorological analysis as well as data. and unfortunately the data that we put into the computer models that we look at so closel...