Page 77 - Computer Models News Today

Intensified before it went onshore. im okay with it being this intense right now. as we mentioned, 130 mile per hour winds. 600 miles away from south florida. lets get into the good stuff. lets get into the positive stuff. this is our latest upgrade updated computer models. these come in every six hours. all of a sudden, these lines, which yesterday were going straight through central florida, all of a sudden we have one, two, three, four of these which never make landfall. the hurricane center ...

That happened this morning. its going to be a close shave from the florida coast, georgia, south carolina, and north carolina. we expect the storm to weaken. the most intense its going to be will be in the next day or two. further north it will be weaker. we do have tropical storm watches. even though were not expecting a direct hit unlike the west palm beach, jupiter area, we expect the possibility of at least tropical storm gusts. we will have problems with not just the wind but definitely the...

We could avoid evacuating as many people as we likely have to do now. the good news last night was that three days out, it was the worst possible case scenario. so it wasnt going to get much worse than that. then weve trended in a better direction. this is another graphic thats kind of a little fun here. so the european computer models are the most reliable long term model. just to show you, the last four runs of it, this is for 8:00 a.m. tuesday, coming up three or four days from now, wednesday...

Then maybe, you know, then maybe we could avoid evacuating as many people as we likely have to do now. the good news last night was that three days out, it was the worst possible case scenario. so it wasnt going to get much worse than that. then weve trended in a better direction. this is another graphic thats kind of a little fun here. so the european computer models are the most reliable long term model. just to show you, the last four runs of it, this is for 8:00 a.m. tuesday, coming up three...

Open to take in some thousands and thousands of people as we spin around you see the latest statistics we have from dorian. you can see hurricane dorian, category 4 storm, located right now about 205 miles near the great abaco key in bahamas itself. bill? >> yeah, were just getting in some of the new information from our computer models, we get these in randomly. the big ones we watch for, is the european model or american models, we get our spaghetti lines. this is the 11:00 advisory, well wait...

Chance that dorian could rake the entire half of the florida coast. and then just add insult to injury here, we dont have a chance of getting clipped out on areas of cape cod and here toward nantucket and nova scotia. this is 3:00 p.m. next weekend with the storm about 100, 200 miles off of cape cod. you get the idea here, we do this with all of our major models. this is our american gfs model, it does the same thing, stalls a little further north and moves a little further off the coastline, dr...

But growing stronger every day. >> so i have to ask you before i let you go, for most of us mere mortals the notion of getting on a plane and going into a hurricane is terrifying and something that we would never want to do. what made you want to wake up one morning and say, oh, im going to be a hurricane hunter? >> well, a few years ago i didnt know this job existed. but i got a degree in aerospace engineering and knew i wanted to do something that was going to help people. and so this job, all...

We saw about 72 on the east side. so it is a growing storm. no question about it. >> any chance that we get lucky? this is only kind of story where journalists like to be wrong. that this storm somehow misses our east coast, or dissipates. chances of that at this point? >> reporter: i have to tell you, what do i is observe the weather. we do multiple trips through the center to give them updates on what it is doing over the course of the next three or four hours. and then they put them into thos...

Consecutive year where a hurricane has touched the shores of the state as well. so you can imagine what kind of economic impacts that has. 105-mile-per-hour sustained winds. that is quite the jump. the pressure has fallen, and we have seen an organization within the past 12 hours specifically that indicates that this storm will continue to intensify as it moves into a general northwesterly direction. and this is interesting to note as well. we have seen a marked uptick in the strength of the win...

Florida coastline. all of the models starting to converge. i will show you in a moment. the convection here on the satellite, looking more and more impressive, even though it is fighting off dry air, starting to get overshooting cloud tops, a sure sign that this storm continues to strengthen and strengthen it will do, continuing, for the next 48, 72 hours. but what i want you to notice is this large cone here, on the path of uncertainty, it is large, because it is expected to slow down in forwar...