Page 79 - Computer Models News Today

We have three days before it gets to land. well see what the intensity is. what we care about is figuring out this path toward florida and the bahamas, the hurricane center is looking at different computer models. we do the same thing here, these update about every six hours or so. all of these squiggly lines represent a possibility for what dorian could do. were mostly targeting the west palm area to the space coast, a shift to the south with the fewer air models. one of our models stalls at ne...

Intensity. we have three days before it gets to land. well see what the intensity is. what we care about is figuring out this path toward florida and the bahamas, the hurricane center is looking at different computer models. we do the same thing here, these update about every six hours or so. all of these squiggly lines represent a possibility for what dorian could do. were mostly targeting the west palm area to the space coast, a shift to the south with the fewer air models. one of our models s...

Half of it is now off the coast of florida. the other half is either over florida or even into the western gulf. yesterday almost all of it was right down the middle. so the odds of saying this could come close, scare and go out to sea, there is a better chance of that today than there was yesterday. so let me get into a little bit some of the technicalities on the forecast. we watch these computer models. were going to continue. we still have about 72 hours at least until we get the storm neare...

The distance between here and here, thats 215 miles. its possible that this storm could approach the coastline at about 4 to 5 miles per hour and a category 4 storm. thats never happened before. usually theyre 8, 9, 10 miles per hour, maybe 15. thats an extremely cee slow-mo storm and those have multiple high tide cycle issues, rainfall issues, not to mention that those high winds in the same location over long periods of time have even more stress on the rooftops and the structures and the tree...

By sunday night tlurgs northern bahamas, it is a little further south. they shifted it to the south. now just north of west palm beach as a category 4. 140-mile-per-hour winds. the problem is the biggest issue, between here and here. thats 215 miles. its possible this storm could approach the coastline at about four to five miles per hour. thats never happened before. usually theyre up around eight, nine, 15. those have multiple rainfall issues. the high winds in the same locations over a long p...

Forecasts path and strength? >> don, im going to be honest with you, it is difficult to envision a labor day weekend without significant impacts along the southeast coast of the united states. sustained winds, 85 miles per hour. it is moving away from puerto rico as we speak. very quickly as well, at a northwesterly pace, about 13 miles per hour. leaving the british virgin islands and nothing between here and the southeast coast of the u.s., specifically florida between it. so there is no land i...

Disorganize this storm. so all it has is warm ocean waters to help fuel the storm. look at the projected path. this is the latest information from the national hurricane center. still a category 1 by tomorrow morning. look how that ramps up thursday evening to a category 2 to a category 3. really, all of our computer models indicating the potential exists for this storm to become even stronger and larger as it approaches the florida peninsula as we head into sunday evening and into the day on mo...

P.m. update which, of course, well pass along to you as soon as we get it. we have the hurricane hunters flying through the center of the storm as we speak. they have picked up on winds over 80 miles per hour, so clearly hurricane force. it is strengthening and it will continue to do so for the next several days. really, the only thing between here and the southeast coast of the u.s. is open ocean warm bath water. don? >> so were talking about the potential of the storm getting really big and we...

A very symmetrical eye wall just north of puerto rico. >> wow. and nothing but water between the storm now before it gets to the coast. ive got to ask you, derek, this storm, dorians path has shifted over the past day. its erratic. >> if you recall, just 24 hours ago we expected this to be not such a significant storm system and that was because of a lot of dry air in place. there is an upper level high pressure system that is going to help drive this storm a little further to the west and, unfo...

Variables at play. mainly, this high pressure system thats going to help steer this, what is a west to northwesterly direction, to a due westerly direction. florida, to the carolinas and the georgia coastline, thats what were targeting right now. >> how should people be preparing on the east coast? leaving? >> i think its time to start looking into your evacuation plans. have your hurricane preparedness kit available. you need to be prepared for a hurricane making landfall. this would be sunday ...