Page 80 - Computer Models News Today

Such a significant storm system and that was because of a lot of dry air in place. there is an upper level high pressure system that is going to help drive this storm a little further to the west and, unfortunately, well, fortunately for puerto rico it was spared a direct hit but that was because of a low pressure system just to the west. it just helped push it a little bit further away from the country. but, unfortunately, that spells bad news for florida peninsula as we head into the weekend. ...

Is now a west to northwest direction. to a due west direction. so florida to the carolinas and the georgia coastline. thats why were targeting. >> how should people be preparing for the east coast? >> its about time to look into the evacuation plan. have a hurricane preparedness kit available. this would be sunday night into monday across the southeast coast. all of the computer models the best knowledge we have availale to us shows that is what we expect to see as conditions deteriorate. into t...

In it. climate areas start to take climate out of the political debate. our own meteorologist here at nbc news has the latest on dorians strength and path. and, bill, i think the big thing and, again, judging all things through the prism of my own family there in florida. the big thing seems tock the euro models suddenly finding that this storm has slowed down. >> and it keeps changing, chuck. i mean, we want answers, i want answers, i want to be able to tell you exactly whats going to happen. t...

More land areas. >> didnt michael -- >> that was like my punch line there. it is going to look a lot like michael with the euro model. here it is on satellite. its out over the open water, just causing a problem for some cruise lines. the update from the hurricane center, intensitys the same, speeds the same. and as far as the intensity forecast goes, i dont want to spend a lot of time on that either because its going to be over the warm water for three to four days. all indications are its goin...

Thats a typical wednesday thunderstorm. they really missed out. great news there. excellent news thats what we want to see. but now going forward what will happen with the steering current? to find the steering current going forward we need to find out where they will be in the next couple days. as we watch the computer models hinting maybe free peter and the bahamas. the european model wants to take it across west palm. cross the florida peninsulaen a maybe regenerate and get stronger in the gu...

To be hard. there you go, the center of it >> dana: matt, its interesting, cutting across the islands. because joe biden is saying, its going to continue to pull wait, i am a progressive. off toward the north. this is the general pattern that i have been a progressive for a happens in the summer. long time. i guess maybe within the crowd bermuda high, it kind of stays he looks more moderate. there, storms off to the east. the thing about these polls showing these hypothetical that high pressure ...

Problems. the eastern side picking up 3 to 6 inches of rain and that will cause flooding because the weekend state is still in after hurricane maria. that is the satellite image of the storms. pulls off to the northeast. as it does so, now the conditions become much more favorable for strengthening of the storm than weve seen the last couple days. the last couple days, conditions were not very favorable and strengthened anyway. now we move into more favorable conditions. thats why official forec...

Its just in the extreme northeast caribbean and moving to the atlantic. it will continue this northwest bath the next couple days and then turn to the west. i fear when it turns to the west, thats when you will see it become a major hurricane. so there are two different computer models that are -- that we look at quite a bit. the one that has it further north is usually the one that breaks down the big high pressure to the north too quickly. we noticed it over the years. its a new version of tha...

Across kind of down toward the equator, just to the north of it. then theres this really strong ridge of high pressure thats always here. it doesnt allow the storms to pull off towards the north, generally speaking. what ends up happening after that as we are going to start to see -- we dont know exactly, does it move off a little toward the north or doesnt move to the west? when we look at our computer models here, you can see some of these turn and some go straight. we could be talking about t...

The most reliable computer models and pulls this across florida and out here in towards the gulf, which would make it have a second landfall. this water is incredibly warm. another one of our reliable models curves this a little bit here closer towards the coast. thats why north florida, georgia and the carolinas have to watch this. were about five days out from this getting to the mainland u.s.a. that is a lot of time just to change. notice a really big spread here. its a low confidence forecas...