Page 276 - Cone News Today

Worst managed. ultimately, the pace at which u.s. hospital capacity is going to be overrun is daunting and terrible. right? when u.s. hospital capacity is overrun what that will mean is that severely ill patients who need to be in a hospital try to keep themselves alive. they will not have hospital beds to hold them. the projections are just terrible. in this -- in the case of this widely-cited model from the university of washington, the model is also built on the assumption that we americans l...

That peak. one is, you know, what weve been talking about, getting social distancing in place. i think were seeing really good news here in washington where were starting to see the peak of cases, at least in king county. we expect the peak of deaths maybe in another seven to ten days, and thats also what our models are suggesting. so thats good news about the impact of social distancing. but if you dont have it in place and there are other factors that seem to lead to a rapid increase in new yo...

It or wont do it until it is too late? well, joining us now is dr. christopher murray, the director of the university of washington institute for health metrics and evaluation. using institute models to project that two weeks from now the u.s. could see a peak of over 2,200 deaths a day. the institute is issuing projections for when individual states will see their peak in terms of the crushing demand on their hospital states like new york whose peak is estimated to occur next week as well as ot...

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Ago. i think there are other important things that we heard in the press briefing. dr. birx said, im going to paraphrase right here, basically this number, this 100,000 to 240,000 deaths are based on people doing what theyre supposed to do, social distancing, making sure that they stay at home. employing all of the methods that we know. and also, predicated on the assumption, and these models are all based on assumptions, things we think are going to happen, that all states are going to come to ...

Guidelines. we need to really push. getting back to that number for a moment, its really important. the model tells you that even if you mitigate fully, youre going to get to this rather disturbing number of deaths, the 100,000 to 200,000. however, as data comes in, the model is only as good as the assumptions that are put into it. so it is conceivable that if we really put a real full court press with the mitigation, the data that comes out may have us modify that model. so even though we antic...

To slow the spread. we are startingow to get signas that thats actually happening. the president of course gave the right leadership yesterday in extending that. for another 30 days. and its very important to know that although we are seeing could of success, this all go for naught if we take our foot off the gas. we have to keep doing it exactly the way the president and vice president have said. 30 more days to slow the spread and we are going to see the curve turn h around. there is light at ...

Not that much higher than the beds available. but look at new york state, see what governor cuomo is worried about. if new yorkers only needed low end of the range on the peak day of april 9, thats still 20,000 beds short. and those are projections at this point, but right in the here and now these states and others are just beginning to climb to that peak. and for those on the front lines in the climb to that peak, in those hospitals, the effect of the virus is already taking a toll unlike anyt...

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Its frustrating knowing that theyre here and we cant bring them home, that its like for the one thing that the mothers want and i get it and to not be able to do that, it feels -- its incomplete. >> reporter: does it drive you crazy? >> yes, it does. >> reporter: kathy menzes knows logically her daughter must be dead. but how to truly accept it without her body? >> i would go there today and start digging, if they would let me. >> reporter: it matters, doesnt it? >> it does matter. >> reporter: ...