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And youll notice that in the track here. the cone of uncertainty as we head into sunday, monday, still includes florida, but now starting to see the caroline as show up in that. thats because of the model trends. and ill show you the molgd z right here. notice lots of agreement through say friday into saturday morning. and then the turn happens. theres one cluster of models taking the storm into florida, south florida here. and then another cluster taking irma into the caroline as for possible l...

Story thats taking shape right now, very dangerous storm, hurricane irma, category 5. making its way west toward puerto rico and florida, so we think. the cone of uncertainty is big on this one so theyre trying to figure out the path, but theyre moving assets and people out of the way as fast as they can. weve already heard from governor rick scott of fort of the sour joined by senators nelson and rubio as they are trying to tell their people to get out of the way on the mainland. plus, amid the...

Gust of 192 miles per hour. thats what got everything rolling from the category 4 to 5. i believe were probably fluctuating somewhere between 160 and 175. 157 gets you to category 5. lets not split hairs. if this storm is going to significantly impact the islands, maybe u.s. vir yin islands. if the eye itself goes over. it will be a devastating impact 6789 the y . you cant take 175. here are the hurricane warnings right now. an will la and others. now, you go out five days, and we all know that ...

Keys. if the storm continues to clip the xhin can republic, this will not be 150, it wont have a chance because the land will get in the way. if its on this side of the cone, it will certainly stay to the major category 4 hurricane and some spots may see category 5 damage through the turks and caicos. one model says that. the european model says it is going to be right over the island of cuba. that will devastate -- that will devastate cuba. somebody is going to get hurt. somebody is going to ge...

An aircraft blew through it and found higher winds than that. we havent seen that since. that was a one-time fly by they found between 188 and 192 where they were flying, 7,000 feet high. that was enough to upgrade it to a category 5. i dont see significant restrengthening or strengthening. there is the eye. if the eye gets down to ten or 15 miles per hour or 15 miles wide, thats when the storm will increase again. when she pulls her arms in, she goes faster. angular momentum. theres the eye, th...

Taking you all the way to sunday. sunday would begin to see this sitting just off the southern edge of florida. thats a wide area. it could be anywhere within this cone. there is still a lot of questions about where exactly its going to go. there are some wins in the upper levels that should be steering this. you see it pretty consistent path and then we get a turn. the models are agreeing this is going to turn north and run into portions of florida. where exactly is going to turn, thats somethi...

Tonight that florida is in irmas eyes. adam has the latest. >> this is a big storm. it winds up to 185 miles an hour. you are looking at the outer caribbean islands. these are the lesser antilles, the northern edge. we are beginning to kick this off. youre looking at these areas under hurricane watches and warnings stretching to puerto rico, likely passing by san juan on wednesday evening. going to be very big as it moves on. currently we are looking at the track looking like its north of puerto...

Direction. it stays a category five storm for now but i will put it into motion for you. this is our cone of uncertainty. that will weaken the storm a bit dropping it onto a category four, at least currently forecasted. that is still a very soft on my powerful storm. not taking here into sunday morning, really saturday night into sunday morning. you get into a wide area where it really could turn absolutely anywhere. we do have some scary wings that say this thing is going to head north from tha...

Calmer eye of the storm. the series of warnings, watches, and states of emergency have been declared ahead of the storms arrival, anding with that lets get a check on the storm and its path with nbc meteorologist steve salzman. what can we expect in the coming days from hurricane irma? >> irma, not going away. in fact, only becoming more the threat here as we go through the next couple of days. the reason why the hurricane intensified overnight, and theres really nothing to weaken it right now. ...

Of 180 miles per hour. look at that thing go. >> when you look at the map, cuba and hispaniola is just the northern part of haiti. they are still recovering from the cholera outbreak that happened last year after a storm. >> the most models showing the eye of the storm will pass between florida and cuba but south florida is within the cone of concern. meaning the storm could make landfall anywhere in that area that includes miami ft. lauderdale and palm beach and florida keys. right now sustaine...