Dollar Smile News Today

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Believe it or not, Emerging Markets local currency bonds have been outperforming global fixed income asset classes for the past 18-months.

A widely used framework that has proved successful at anticipating cycles of U.S. dollar strength and weakness suggests the world's reserve currency will...

Amid another wave of dollar hatred, BRICS nations are talking up a common currency, while the yuan’s share of global trade finance has tripled in recent years. Yet, ‘King Dollar’ plays a unique role in the global economy, and also has luck on its side.

Insider's Phil Rosen interviews Eurizon SLJ economist and inventor of the dollar smile theory, Stephen Jen.

"We believe the erosion of the dollar's reserve currency status has accelerated in recent years at an alarming pace," Eurizon said.

After more than a decade of underperformance, European stocks racing ahead of Wall Street peers still requires a double take - but some think we may need to get used to it. In all the... | April 14, 2023

Higher interest rates, tighter credit conditions and a steadily depleting stock of household savings all add to the case for a US recession and potentially a period of weak global growth. So shouldn’t this mean an appreciation in the US dollar? It depends.

Stephen Jen, the inventor of the dollar smile theory, forecasts that the Fed is close to, if not already past, peak hawkishness and rate cuts loom.

The US Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates, even if it crimps economic activity, while China is easing some Covid measures. The prospect of the US economy slowing somewhat, while Chinese economic activity picks up, lends itself to a weaker greenback versus the yuan.