Easterly Waves News Today

The forecast calls for six to 10 hurricanes and three to six major hurricanes.

In IMD parlance, departure means an increase or decrease (here increase) from the average mean temperature/rainfall of the given time period based on 30 years records.

Whats usually missing is a pre-existing disturbance, which is most of the hurricanes we get started out as african easterly waves, which come off of africa, south of the sahara. you need that. more importantly, you need wind. its kind of like tornadoes. you have to have a special mixture of certain ingredients. its not just a sea surface temperature. otherwise, wed be having major hurricanes all over the tropics. and we dont. they are a relatively rare phenomenon. statistically, like i said, if ...