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June 5, 2024
In less than a week, a series of reports has changed the outlook for the timing and magnitude of future Fed rate cuts, sending mortgage rates into a five-day tailspin.
February 1, 2024
Beware The Subsides Of March By Michael Every of Rabobank Central bankers are no soothsayers: and what Fed Chair Powell said didn’t soothe. He didn’t cut…
January 16, 2024
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
December 23, 2023
Jay Powell meets the ghosts of markets past, present and future
November 22, 2023
Concerns of a housing market crash are heating up ahead of tomorrow's crucial October existing-home sales report.
November 12, 2023
US banks are sitting on an estimated $650 billion in unrealized losses on their bond holdings.The surge in interest rates over the past 18 months drove bond
November 11, 2023
"If interest rates have peaked as markets are currently implying, banks could be seeing a reduction in some of these losses going forward."
September 23, 2023
Long-Term Capital Management’s collapse 25 years ago started a habit hard to break—the ‘Fed put.’
August 17, 2023
Investors gauging monetary views by watching the level of the Fed's key interest rate have their eye on the wrong ball.
May 24, 2023
The Fed has trained the trading-rats all too well, and there is no way to avoid the unintended consequences of the Fed's large-scale human behavioral experiment.