Page 4 - First Midterm News Today

Little bit more of two weeks between now and election day. the question is, have they open up a lead for good here? couldnt get wider? or are we in for another change in these final days, these final weeks of the campaign, could democrats tighten that still once more, as they did over the summer? certainly, a significant week in terms of the movement that we have seen here. also, i think notably, putting this into context, these are the most recent wave elections weve seen in the terms, where th...

The same point in these recent wave elections, where you can see, this republican number is not where it was in 2010, when republicans had that huge mid term and won 63 seats in the house. breakable most recent term, its not where it was for democrats four years ago, when democrats had that blue wave, took back the house and trumps first midterm. but that 3. 1 lead, its pretty comparable to where things were at this point in 2020 -- that was barack obamas second term as president, know its a lat...

Midterm this crucial, we would expect to see, at least traditionally, the president holding big campaign rallies, but the white house has obviously taken a much more toned down approach, still focusing on bidens ability to raise lots of money for the democrats. so more private events. and an analysis from "the new york times" shows obama had, i think, 16 rallies in october before his first midterm. trump had 26 and you see there biden with a big fat zero for the month of october. does this hurts...

Too. lets talk about how theyre going to affect the midterms. >> as you were pointing out, compared to other presidents at this point, first midterm, 43%. that looks a lot like a 43% here. looks close to obama 45. looks like to clinton 45. bush was the outlier at 62%. if this 43% looks like the trump 43%, the opposition party that particular year, the democrats gained 40 seats. i dont think were necessarily looking at that, but the opposition party has gained anywhere from 40 seats to 63 seats. ...

Actually change. that is the kick out question for democrats. democrats, believe in a year, the wind is in their face. its a democratic president, first midterm, history says the presidents party suffers. the democrats are looking for something to help them turn out voters and to peel back the suburban republicans who voted against donald trump, to peel back independents who might say i dont like inflation, i dont think biden has delivered, democrats believe the abortion issue could be a turnout...

Antiabortion republicans in the states listen to this vote? again, we are at 50%. i want to be careful. there is a lot of rural kansas. the vote is yet to come in. this could tighten up considerably, the results could actually change. that is the kick out question for democrats. democrats, believe in a year, the wind is in their face. its a democratic president, first midterm, history says the presidents party suffers. the democrats are looking for something to help them turn out voters and to p...

With it. >> stunt. it shows forgive me a big trump supporter just how not serious he is in the sense he didnt want to pick so he endorsed eric. eric greitens resigned in scandal and disgrace now wants to be the united states senate. eric schmitt united states attorney general. so this is not a choice of an election denier and someone who supports election integrity. but trump said either of the erics there. the biggest story for me is that were talking about missouri at all. this is a republican...

The party out of power wins in a house in a presidents first midterm, the house republicans are five-votes away from the majority in the house of representatives. those are the basic facts. they leave aside all of the rough factors for joe biden and democrats. >> thanks to both of you. coming up, what we know about a top trump aides testimony before the january 6th committee today. whats next in the covid pandemic as cases rise once again. once again. what goes on it... usually. ♪♪ in it...

Only 4 times has the party holding the white house gained seats in the senate during the presidents first midterm, we are going to gain seats, donald trump is made history should we gain seats in the senate. you are right to say should we lose the house narrowly a few seats is a victory. the average loss is 32 seats when you go to 1832. if we lose marginally and game in the senate that is history and that is donald trump. jillian: thank you very much for being here. 18 minutes after the hour, ju...

Back now with "end game", i want to put up a simple chart, guys, which is presidential approval and number of seats lost in a midterm, first midterm. we have donald trumps rating, 46%. we dont know how many seats his party will lose, but check out barack obamas in the first midterm, approval rating at 47%, 63 seats lost, bill clinton, 48%, 54 seats. 46%? some republicans are going, wow, hey, you know, thats survivable, but look historically, and i think one of the things we fail to do in 16 was ...