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Reading the Economic Tea Leaves

Tasseography practitioners read tea leaves to forecast the future. Some economic data serve a similar purpose. Policymakers, central bankers, economists, and investors look at leading economic indicators to forecast where the economy may be headed. Classic leading indicators include:Consumer confidence. Consumer spending is the largest contributor to economic growth in
United States Greg Womack Sam Meredith Jeffry Bartash Federal Reserve Bank Federal Reserve

The Economy Appears to Be Slowing Down

Last week, many investors were focused on economic data. The Personal Consumption report offers information about Americans’ income and spending over the previous month. It includes one of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauges, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index. The March report showed: Disposable income, which is the amount
United States Greg Womack Nicholas Jasinski Federal Reserve Personal Consumption Financial Adviser

Inflation and Geopolitics and Earnings. Oh, My!

Inflation and geopolitics and earnings. Oh, my!It was a rough week for stock markets. “The S&P 500 closed 1.5% lower on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite dipped 1.6%. Every S&P 500 sector closed lower—and just about 40 stocks in the index finished the day with gains,” reported Connor Smith of
Greg Womack Augusta Saraiva Sridhar Natarajan Matthew Boesler Connor Smith Federal Reserve

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What do dieters have in common with the Federal Reserve?

What do dieters have in common with the Federal Reserve?If you’ve ever dieted, you may be familiar with the weight-loss plateau. Many people experience steady progress. The bathroom scale moves lower week by week – until it doesn’t – and that can be discouraging.The Federal Reserve has been trying to
United States Teresa Rivas Greg Womack Jerome Powell Federal Reserve Consumer Price

Central Banks Have Spoken

The central banks have spoken.No one expected the United States Federal Reserve to announce a rate change last week – and it didn’t. But Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments and the actions of other central banks led to new records being set in stock markets around the world, reported Randall
United States Greg Womack Jerome Powell Randall Forsyth European Central Bank Swiss National Bank

Optimism From Investors

Optimism abounds!Enthusiasm for everything related to artificial intelligence (AI) drove a global stock market rally last week. Equity markets in the United States, Europe, and Japan hit all-time highs after a leading chipmaker reported better-than-expected earnings and an extraordinary surge in demand for its artificial intelligence-targeted processors, wrote Rita Nazareth
United States Ericj Savitz Greg Womack Kyungjin Yoo Augusta Saraiva Rita Nazareth

Don't Fight the Fed!

Don’t fight the Fed.The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States. A longstanding bit of investment wisdom is: Don’t fight the Fed. It means that investors should align their strategies with the Fed’s monetary policy. Economic growth is influenced by Fed policy, and stock markets tend
United States Michaels Derby Nicholas Jasinski Howard Schneider Kent Thune Greg Womack

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