the incumbent. greta: if you take today s numbers, instead of weighting them to the 2008 election, weight them to 2004 or 2000, does it have a different winner? yes. if you take any of these polls that currently show romney behind by five, six, or seven points, you weight them to the 2008 turnout, you have romney at least tied and in most cases ahead. you also have him carrying florida easily, virginia easily, ohio more or less a break-even race. you not only have the weighting, you have the undecided vote. i really believe that s what s going on we all talk about media bias. this is an instance of it. they re trying to drown the romney campaign and the perception that they can t win, they re losing, so everybody gives up. it just ain t so. greta: dick, just a quick question. you said if you weight them to 2008, only five seconds left, did you mean weight it to 2004?
i m saying there are plausible things that we ll find out something, because none of this story makes sense. i agree with rush, none of it makes sense, but i don t think it s i don t think there was like a owe foe campaign purposes they tried to tell people it wasn t an al-qaeda attack. they re telling people it was a terrorist attack, that there were attacks to militia and terrorist organizations. what s the cover-up? greta: if it s not a cover-up campaign reason, then it s incompetence, which is also not particularly flattering or there s some back story. one of those three. clearly there wasn t enough security and i mean, there was a security lapse here that greta: that s a different issue. i think everyone agrees on that one. so there was competence issues there that will come out. we ll find the bottom out of that. i do think there s a colossal, massive back story that we don t know. by the way, i ve done a lot of work in the region. you know, you ll often have
break at the end of the day? they could decide it. the romney party will break overwhelming against obama. if he hasn t closed the deal yet, they ll get the voters. the cautionary note in 2004, john kerry was banking on a similar dynamic. he was hoping a lot of people that voted for george w. bush would say, i don t like the things worked out, i ll go with kerry. they split down the middle, enough to let bush stay in office. i thought it was interesting that the voters said, i m changing my vote, i m changing my vote. that was the predominant message of the obama campaign in 2008, you know, change, we saw on the signs, the banners. you really see that the romney campaign is trying to tap into those voters, really co-op them from the obama campaign. greta: i thought it was a two-fer. i thought it was also an effort to get the women. you know, they could have put men in there, found some men. michael, the women vote was important, certainly in 96. that struck me as well. this is
that so significant as to skew the polls? i mean, is that a huge massager? >margin? well, it s a three-point-point margin. in other words if you have a poll showing romney losing by five, he s only losing by two. the latinos bring it to even, and the young people give romney an edge. when you look at all of these polls, you go by what is the most likely turnout, not the eight turn out, a lot less, maybe more than far, but less than 2008. you get to what rasmussen has, who does it properly, a tie race. when you have a tie race, greta, it s an advantage for romney, because the undecided vote always goes against the incumbent. that s how reagan got elected. carter was six points ahead of him seven days out, and carter lost by nine because the undecided always went to the challenger. when you re undecided you re basically saying you don t like
opinion, failed to maintain respect for the united states in that part of the world. and respect is one of the great assets you have in trying to protect your diplomats around the world. >world. greta: can you think of reason the administration kept pushing the youtube video theory, not straight with us from the get-go? i mean, people were suspicious. it s 9/11. it s americans getting killed. it s that part of the world. it s our property, because it s the consulate. is there any other is there any explanation that you can give us as to why we weren t told it was terrorism when they knew it? you gave some choices of incompetence, lying or cover-up. i think it s all three. i think it s incompetence. i think it is a fact that they have policies there that don t work. i think it s lying. he goes to the u.n. and says video, video, video, video after his own people before he went to the u.n. had begun to acknowledge that it was a terrorist attack.