Page 5 - House Map News Today

Levin is the winner of the southern california congressional seat vacated by daryl issa. joining me now, steve kornacki and nbc news senior politics editor mark murray. steve, first to you. walk us through what happened in the past week and last night. >> yeah, it sort of is slow building here. we live in this era of so many votes are counted late, mailed in. it takes a while to get a sense, especially when youre going district by district. heres the house map of the country right now. the main ...

Carolina just moments from now. thats trump country. wolf? >> yes, were getting ready for some more poll closings, but things are beginning to shape up in some of these states already. >> starting to get a sense of the early house map. can the democrats get that net 23? and you mentioned, let me just show you, the races over there where people are leading, its misleading because republicans are leading in some of these safe republican districts and democrats are leading in safe democrat district...

The state with election day turnout. this the presidential race, very competitive, but this is red in the presidential race, so now you come forward to 2018 and one of the things youre looking for is a trump effect. how many voters voted for trump now turned and say, go democrat for senator or governor this time. thats one thing we look at. thats the house map. theres the senate map. the senate candidate still ahead. this is giant florida. still ahead statewide. its a big state. 8% of the vote. ...

You look at the map and youre looking at the democratic areas and thinking are there enough votes in here. this is the big one. again, 16-plus percent of the statewide population. a more increasingly democratic area where beto orourke had a big turnout operation. well see. if that number is correct, a lot more votes to come out of here. as we noted earlier, as you watched this play out in the senate race, i just want to switch over to the house map. these are house pickup opportunities for the d...

I dont see a coalescing of norms. i see the opposite, from the house and the senate to moving in different directions. to why and where, were moving apart. >> were moving apart and redrawing the map. you mentioned this in your conversation with david. this house map is a rebuke of president trump in the american suburbs. thats how george h.w. bush, george w. bush, and ronald reagan, they won the suburbs, and not anymore. thats where the democrats have a stronghold. republicans, the rural states,...

Again, its consistent. suburban areas, reliably republican suburbs, whether were talking about pennsylvania, whether were talking about new jersey, whether were talking about texas. as you keep moving west, let me check on illinois as well because this one has been going back and forth. im going to come in thats a pickup opportunity there. so again, from maine to illinois to iowa to utah to texas, to possibly oklahoma, the democrats have opportunities to pick it up everywhere. its an interesting...

Republican hands. and the democrats are hanging by a thread in the house. it is much easier to pick up votes in the house than it is in the senate. and i think the president will put an olive branch out to democrats. >> sandra: you can say he is doing that already. >> i dont know how to decipher some of those tweets. well see what happens. whether former democrat donald trump is willing to work with whoever the next speaker of the house is. in the house there are some interesting dynamics worth ...

Now. they hope to add and this is where they hope to do it. lets take a look at this at the presidential level, this state not competitive. it was a blowout for donald trump, his vice president mike pence. i want to go back to 2012 to donnellys senate race. this is a weak candidate. he got 50%, so it is a tough state for democrat, it was then and more so now in donald trumps republican party, though this is a test tonight for the senate. can joe donnelly hold on in this environment? what message...

Two that they the democrats have banked. if two others guy. the yellows. toss up races. if these flip into the democratic column, they say that could be a sign of a very big thigt in the house. go over to pennsylvania. pennsylvania because of the judge required new maps. you have plus retirement. you have at least four seats the democrats feel like they banked. what happens later in the night in a race like this. pennsylvania first district. this is considered a firewall for house republicans. i...

One of the places well be looking is red. texas. you look down in texas, two districts. houston suburbs, republican incumbent. will millennials and college educated women turn out? thats one. texas 32 in the dallas suburbs, endangered incumbent. we shouldnt be talking about this race in a normal year. the question, is this a normal year? is this a big blue wave? those two districts in texas will tell you that. thats the house map as you look at it. democrats favored coming in. plenty of targets ...