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February 17, 2024
The market sentiment is bullish but valuations are high. Why fight against a trend, while staying bullish, just add an element of caution. When we use the word caution, we mean stay with quality and especially if one is increasing exposure in midcap at this point of time. There is enough evidence to show that owning quality stocks pays both in bullish and bearish markets conditions. In a bullish market, they tend to rise faster and when a bearish phase comes, they do lose weight like others but ...
February 17, 2024
While it might be too early to call or to some it might appear to be wish of which bears on the street would have, but the way the market breadth has panned out, there is probability of a selective correction taking place, which is essentially led by the profit booking. At this time if one is looking to increase exposure, it would be better that they should look for stocks where there are some improvements in the business operating matrix that tend to weather the storm better. These selected sto...
February 17, 2024
There have not been many instances where one would have seen PSU banks strongly out performing the private banks. But we have seen a divergence in recent times. This probably is a reflection that finally the street has realized that it is wrong to paint all the companies in the banking sector with the same brush. It is even more true for the other parts of the financial service sector with the same brush. While they come under the umbrella of the BFSI, the operating matrix of each segment of fi...
February 16, 2024
Risks are higher, but desire to own them is at the highest. This probably explains the current state of relationship between the small cap segment of the market and investors. One of the reasons for it could be the recent performance of small caps and the kind of return they have delivered in the last eight months. This has brought them in the category of stocks where the desire to own them is “highest”. But the fact which gets ignored in such conditions is that “risks” a...
February 16, 2024
There is another side to the much talked about SEBI study, which mentioned that 90 % of the individuals who trade in future and options ( F&O) end up losing money only 10% are able to make profit. What is the common between both these losers and winners? They both brokerage to their stock broker and also pay transaction fees to the stock exchange. So, who is the constant and permanent winner? The stock exchange and the stock broker. Now to the other part which is more important, the turnover...
February 16, 2024
It is common for children to consider anything they do not encounter regularly in their quotidian lives as weird or alien. More so if they happen to be born in and growing up in places other than the homeland of their parents or grandparents. It is then up to their elders to orient and acquaint them with their heritage and culture in an organic manner, so that they as second and third generation migrants-often biracial-have open minds towards unfamiliar customs and practices.
February 16, 2024
The Romans saw the Vikings are barbarians and were eager to make them Christian, for they beleived their truth was the universal truth. They were not interested in learning from lesser people. For Romans, the others had to be subjugated. They were resources and rivals, to be enslaved, and brought into the Roman fold. In time, the Vikings lands of Scandinavia would give rise to the Dutch who would change the world forever by inventing the stock market, a financial revolution that provided vast am...
February 15, 2024
First, it was unsecured loans, then it was housing finance companies and in the last two days, it has been micro finance companies. RBI has been taking stock of each segment of the financial service and tightening the norms so that accidents like 2018 can be avoided. Whenever there is tightening of norms, stocks from that sector tend to correct. The question is whether that correction is something which is an opportunity or not. One part of the answer lies in looking at overall market size and t...
February 15, 2024
At a time when nifty is moving in and out of green territory, it would be better to add one more parameter to watch, that is market breadth.There are clear signs of profit booking taking place in the broader market with market breadth not being as positive as it used to be. While the initial part of any volatility is led by large caps, there is a higher probability that the large caps are able to stabilize much before any part of the market.So, if one is thinking of fresh exposure to the market ...
February 15, 2024
Unlike last quarter of 2023, when nifty and sensex used to witness correction and mid-cap index was able move higher. Since the start of 2024, the mid-cap index is also participating in the correction, clearly indicating that some profit booking is taking place in this segment of the market. Having said that, if one looks at the flow of money to the mutual funds, a good amount of it is still coming in funds which are focussed on mid or small cap. There is no way one can fight with liquidity, if ...