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February 14, 2024
In the last three days, including this morning when markets opened for trading, all those investors who have overloaded small caps in their portfolio have probably gone through three different emotions. Monday , my portfolio has gone dramatically, should I sell. Tuesday, my portfolio value has recovered, it was just a correction, should I buy more. This morning, once again why the value of my portfolio is down, should I sell. For all those who have gone through these emotions. Let the market be ...
February 14, 2024
After a phase of correction, there have been signs of some respite both in private and PSU banking space. In the case of the private sector, except HDFC bank which is still quoting close to its recent lows, others have been able to start their upward journey once again. In the case of PSU banks, in the last two days of volatility movement, they have been the ones which have been able to recover faster indicating continued interest in the space. Now this is again a risker trade but for traders, ...
February 14, 2024
Whether it is an individual or a company, interest rates matter to every segment of the economy, the only difference is how strong is this co-relationship. For an individual, his or her EMI, right from home loans to personal loan to auto loan is decided by interest rates. For companies the cost of capital is decided by interest rates and capital is the lifeline for all companies. When it comes to companies, there are certain sectors which get impacted by movement in interest rates more than othe...
February 13, 2024
Volatility never gives notice before coming and again on Monday, it did not give one. The difference is that this time the impact of volatility was felt by more investors and traders. There are two probable reasons, list of top loser on Monday was dominated by PSU stocks which have been the best performing set of stocks in last few weeks and that all those who only recently realized that there is something called PSU and jumped on the bandwagon are probably looking at their phone and saying why ...
February 13, 2024
Unlike the past, where the correction was led by large cap stocks, this time it has been midcap which has the correction. It is not the first time this correction has taken place and a similar trend is visible in the past also. In such times it would be better to select stocks where analysts are bullish. ET screener powered by Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus lists down quality stocks with high upside potential over the next 12 months, having an average recommendation rating of “buy&rd...
February 13, 2024
On Monday, when the whole market was reeling under pressure, there was one sector which was able to keep its head above water both at the level of indices and internal market breadth of that sector. It was IT sectors, it is not the first time that this relative outperformance has been witnessed on the street, in recent months, there have been instances where on the day market has been under pressure, IT stocks have moved upward. The only difference is frequency, magnitude and the breadth of the ...
February 11, 2024
One sector which bore the brunt of the winter of capital spending was the capital goods and engineering sector. However, thanks to capital expenditure by the government, segment by segment they are making a comeback. First road and infrastructure, then defence and railways. The million dollar question is what next ? There is a high probability that not one but a host of sectors and their sub segments might be getting added to the list as private sector capex shows signs of revival. This would me...
February 11, 2024
In the stock markets, knowing risk and managing the risks are two different things. Managing the risk is more complicated than it appears as it involves more hard work and at times going against the narrative prevailing on the street. At this point of time, valuations in the small cap segment of the market are extremely high is the risk. How many are thinking of managing it ? Now there are two ways to manage this risk. First keep your exposure low in this segment. Second, if one is still looking...
February 11, 2024
There are some sectors where the macro structure is such that for one or the other reasons the overall growth is higher. This is not to say that growth comes without phases of slowdown, but when tailwinds come they are able to take care of all the slowdown and over a period of time, growth is much better. So, at times valuations are high, take exposure to stocks and sectors where at least there is high probability of growth ensuring that over a period of time, valuations get normalized. When we ...
February 10, 2024
At a time when everything on the street appears good and green, there is a case of being selective and cautious. Cautious in terms of not going overboard with taking exposure to a certain stock, selective about what one is buying. The reason, even if it is in a raging bull market, the street never stays in this all good and green mode forever. When the street starts to become selective and gets into correction mode, it is stocks where there has been improvements in the business operating matrix ...