Larry Saab Toe News Today

Numbers were about to show you are rigged. our new survey monkey poll showing hillary clinton with a 5-point lead over donald trump. were joined by mark murray. also joined by larry saab toe, who is editor in chief of the famous crystal ball. mark, lets start with you. . this reality check when it comes to donald trumps poll numbers. what do we know? >> the polls have been incredibly consistent and stable for donald trump over the past year that we have been looking at this presidential contest....

You saw the chamber of commerce wing of the party rising up. folks interested in governing, defending off challenges from the far right. at the end of the day, theyre totally focused on winning. thats whats been missing from the tea party equation. >> larry, i ask you the overarching question, is the tea party candidate diminished, is it dead? >> its still a piece of the republican party. america is an incredibly diverse country demographically and in terms of political factions, both parties ar...

For republicans in georgia the road to the u.s. senate will run through two fairly traditional candidates. david purdue will battle jack kingston. voters giving the boot to the tea party candidates who are in the running. thats a bit of a switch for a state thats been home to one of the most conservative voting records in the past five years. this is tea party country after all. here to talk about that, larry saab toe, director of the university of virginia center for politics and john avlon fro...

Average people. after you get hit on the head with a two-by-four two or three times in a row, i think they learned from some of the mistakes that republican electorates made in 2010 and 2012. they have chosen in georgia and also in kentucky the candidates most likely to win in the fall. thats what parties are supposed to do in their nominating process. >> john, what struck me now -- and i hear you, larry -- but it seemed like the establishment republican candidates in georgia running talked more...

This photo of the former candidate putting gas in his car has gone viral overnight. regular guy mitt, a as soon as possible shot like this might have helped him out during a little campaign, a little human behavior that a lot of people werent sure he actually took part in. instead, we have this quote from political analyst larry saab toe. i just dont think romney ever established an emotional connection with much of anybody in the party. he was essentially a cyborg designed to win the presidenty...

Virginia joins us now. it comes down, larry, to a group relative small group, the -- as it always does, the voters in the middle, independents. will the presidents visit sway them or hurt them? >> is certainly is not going to help. look, president obama got 49% of the independents in 2008. a recent gallop survey had his support among independents nationally 38%, theres no reason to think independents in nevada are different. in fact i would generally think based on my review of data in nevada ov...

Now, the really interest question is going to be whether reid has obama back close to election day. thats when a obama visit could move independents in the other direction. >> brian: larry saab toe, thank you very much. >> a live look at the federal courthouse in new orleans where the obama administration is fighting to get the six month drilling ban reinstated. a decision is expected shortly. someone here says the drilling in the gulf -- not drilling could be worse for the economy than the spil...