Lean Democrat News Today

Tim Sheehy is favored to take on three-term Democrat Sen. Jon Tester, but questions about his youth, business dealings, and a bullet in his arm shadow his odds.

Lake, a Republican, is trailing Democratic Representative Ruben Gallego in the latest poll of the crucial Senate race.

Michigan is the most competitive open seat on the Senate map this cycle with the retirement of veteran Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow. Filing closed last week, and though Republicans have been successful in avoiding messy primaries in many targeted races, the Wolverine State is set to have a crowded GOP contest. Meanwhile, Democrats have largely coalesced behind swing-district Rep. Elissa Slotkin (MI-07).

Republican Wisconsin Senate candidate Eric Hovde questioned in an interview whether nursing home residents should be voting.

Democrats face an incredibly challenging 2024 Senate map that has them almost entirely on defense. While our three Toss Up races have remained constant and fairly obvious for some months now — Ohio, Montana and Arizona — we have mulled over whether any of the other competitive contests in the Lean Democrat column deserve a more vulnerable rating.

Cook Political Report: “Democrats face an incredibly challenging 2024 Senate map that has them almost entirely on defense. While our three Toss Up races have remained constant and fairly obvious for some months now — Ohio, Montana and Arizona — we have mulled over whether any of the other comp

From new leaders in Philadelphia's City Hall to potential trouble on the presidential campaign trail, here's what we're watching this new year.

 

Today's Water Cooler

Our first set of Electoral College ratings, which we released this summer, made assumptions about 2024 based on past performance.