Lean Romney News Today

Advisor and strategist joe trippi. okay. here is the latest map. you can see from the info on the key. red is romney. blue, obama. pinkish states. lean romney. yellow are tossup states. these are based on polls from the last two weeks. start on what changed and then to final map. karl? >> record 96 state level polls last week and 31 states. ten states showed movement toward romney and 13 states toward movement to romney. but only one change in status. wisconsin by less than a point flips by thre...

The yellow states those are tossup states within the margin of error. reminder this is all based, this map you are looking at polls in the last two weeks. what has changed since last week. the last time we talked? >> first, we have now, record number of state level polls, 69 last week. 28 states. 12 states showed movement to romney and nine states toward obama. but only two states changed the status. one of the smallest numbers weve seen wince bebegan this in april. one not a surprise. tennessee...

>> its a matter of how he performs. >> and obama under performed his campaign at the debates, the question is can the campaign apparatus measure up to romney the candidate. and does romney the candidate stay the guy we saw on saturday night. >> just when we think we have a game changing moment that something else happens, and these polls showing a romney advantage, i still dont think we have polls showing whether those jobs numbers from friday. >> if that maretters, right. you guys have narrowed...

And "charlotte observer" where he is up by four. this is the strength and weaknesses of averaging the polls together. well drop off this week, the earliest poll in the last month, which is incidentally the best poll for president obama. this state is going to end the next couple of weeks trend -- i wouldnt surprised to see in a couple of weeks north carolina be a lean romney state on the basis of dropping out the older polls. >> bret: we talk about the ipad app that people can download. they are...

Out, this is over 30 days. you moved texas in to the dark red, because you just said it is. but georgia is the same way, right? tennessee, kentucky? >> we have 35 electoral college votes called lean romney, georgia, tennessee, kentucky. they are called that because the last poll we have is some time ago. but i personally think those 35 electoral college votes are in romneys column. if you do that, think about that for a minute. solid obama states 14 of them represent 184 electoral college votes....

And "charlotte observer" where he is up by four. this is the strength and weaknesses of averaging the polls together. well drop off this week, the earliest poll in the last month, which is incidentally the best poll for president obama. this state is going to end the next couple of weeks trend -- i wouldnt surprised to see in a couple of weeks north carolina be a lean romney state on the basis of dropping out the older polls. >> bret: we talk about the ipad app that people can download. they are...

And "charlotte observer" where he is up by four. this is the strength and weaknesses of averaging the polls together. well drop off this week, the earliest poll in the last month, which is incidentally the best poll for president obama. this state is going to end the next couple of weeks trend -- i wouldnt surprised to see in a couple of weeks north carolina be a lean romney state on the basis of dropping out the older polls. >> bret: we talk about the ipad app that people can download. they are...

Out, this is over 30 days. you moved texas in to the dark red, because you just said it is. but georgia is the same way, right? tennessee, kentucky? >> we have 35 electoral college votes called lean romney, georgia, tennessee, kentucky. they are called that because the last poll we have is some time ago. but i personally think those 35 electoral college votes are in romneys column. if you do that, think about that for a minute. solid obama states 14 of them represent 184 electoral college votes....

Romney. >> i thought the nbs c -- >> lets stay with chuck. out there that the challenger will get four out of the six or something like that, is that still a probability or not given what you know about favorabilities? >> no. no. i think its very possible its one to one. i think its possible that its actually splits up 40% of them going to obama, 30% go to romney, and 30% dont vote. i think thats the more likely scenario of this 8% to 10% of the electorate. >> i thought that in the nbc poll actu...

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