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Two. this poll found that while democrats lead in urban areas by as many 40 points and republicans are leaving rural areas by more than 30 points, its dead even, evenly matched in the generic ballot in the suburban areas. what we see now but whats really been true all along, yes, democrats have a geographical, map advantage because of where the races are that the republicans are playing much defense. 29 of 31 toss-up races are republican held. republicans of a fighting chance because its evenly ...

Take a listen. >> we will have some work to do to bring about healing and reconciliation after this election. this election is a moment of reckoning. it is a choice between division or unity. between strong, steady leadership or a loose cannon who could put everything at risk. >> so, it has been clear for a while. hillary clinton has an electoral map advantage. if you want to know how they view the end of the race, look at where shes going today. today is the last day of campaigning. the clinton...

Clintons electoral map advantage. take a look at the most recent poll. in michigan, 42% to 38%. thats a four-point race in a state where barack obama beat mitt romney by nine points. this is too close for comfort for the democrats. thats why you see so much campaign activity there. also out last night, brand new des moines register poll in iowa, 46% to 39%, seven-point lead for donald trump in iowa. this causes concern not so much about iowa, which the clinton folks already thought was out of re...

At the magic wall, david? >> it is certainly causing heartache for the democrats. upper midwest region here. minnesota, wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania. this is the heart of hillary clintons electoral map advantage. take a look at the most recent poll. in michigan, 42% to 38%. thats a four-point race in a state where barack obama beat mitt romney by nine points. this is too close for comfort for the democrats. thats why you see so much campaign activity there. also out last night, brand new de...

This sunday. its all about ohio. in florida "the tampa bay times", were divide but optimist optimistic. "down to the wire" in pennsylvania. joining me is cnbc correspondents. were going to go ladies first. one adviser said its a tied football game and theres a loose ball. is that the talk of someone thats behind? if its really tied, dont you claim to be ahead? >> if it is a tied game, team obama is closer to the ball. if you look back going back no 1992 democrats have had an electoral map advant...

The bus tour doesnt even need a name, its so exciting, it doesnt even need a name. >> im hoping he can take his message of laying off teachers and firefighters to these small towns and maybe have even an opportunity to insult some more small business owners on the quality of their cookies. it should be a good time for everyone. but i think youre absolutely right. when you look at the national polls, things are a bit tighter, but when you look at these swing states, the president clearly has an e...

An significant lead, and it must be the romney calculation that they better get to those states now before they lose any possibility of getting them. >> yeah, i think thats right. and i have to say, lawrence, im pretty excited about the romney bus tour. im excited about him the iss-- >> oh, yeah, i can understand that, who isnt? the bus tour doesnt even need a name, its so exciting, it doesnt even need a name. >> im hoping he can take his message of laying off teachers and firefighters to these ...