Page 205 - Methodology News Today

Methodology that is very open and transparent and that has been used for decades in terms of computing the employment numbers. and, you know, this is to democrats this is music to our ears. when you start complaining about the polls and you start complaining about employment number methodology, its a very, very clear sign that the other side is losing the debate and they have to go to these kind of, you know, bush league tactic that is dont persuade anybody and, you know, this is very, very good...

South, my question is this: given the fact of the size of the democratic vote if the south and african-americans and hispanics in texas or the blue states, are these candidates -- the president would have to be in trouble in the blue states, the heart states like california, and romney would have to be winning the south by 80 percent to make these numbers come out to have a 10-point lead in the swing states. this is a problem of breaking out partial samples of national polls. there are so many p...

Being made in todays polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino and young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> obama campaign senior advisor david axel rod told fox "public polls are widely variant in their sampling and methodology so hard to make the case when they all point in one direction they are all wrong but we are planning for a close race as we always have." another democratic strategist offered this assessment. >> this thing...

Mitt romney? >> i dont buy that. >> not sure, right? >> i dont think its intentional. you look at every poll and its methodology and you can say whether its a good or bad poll. do i think theres a concerted effort to skew the polls against governor romney? no, i dont buy that. >> peter, what do you make of his debunking the conservative assertions there? >> yeah, i dont think theres any systematic effort to skew the polls against mitt romney. if you look back historically, youve seen years in wh...

Gallup had michael dukakis leading by 17 points after the democratic convention, but lost to bush by 7.5%. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points in mid-september, tied with bill clinton by the end of october, though clinton eventually won. a former clinton pollster is questioning the assumptions being made in todays polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino, and young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> obama campaig...

In 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points and died with bill clinton but october though clinton eventually won. former pollster questioning the assumption made in todays polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african-american, latino an young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> they said the public poll are varying in the sampling and methodology so its hard to make the case when they point in one direction, theyre all wrong. but we are plann...

Portraying a turn-out model that is modeled after 2008. and not perhaps this year. >> the pollster, most of the pollsters are doing the best they can. if you dont pick some screen, you are basically throwing random numbers up. you have to have some methodology. the 2008 number is a mag knelt next to a compass. the 2008 turn-out was huge, that it affects all subsequent screens. what i look at now more than anything else in the chaos is the independents. six months ak we were told the whole thing ...

Theyre asking people are you going to vote and theyre saying yes. are you a republican or democrat, that shifts around based on how people are feeling and vote for. but i think one of the things youre seeing in these polls and this story about polling is what you guys said before about having your own facts. the idea here, that republicans dont like polls so theyre going to create a new methodology in the website that unskews them is remarkable. something all americans are doing. if you look at ...

Right is that the polls are all wrong. mathematically. even the fox news poll. they are all unfairly skewed to make it look like obama is winning when, in fact, thats not the case. the new argument on the right is that if you reconfigure all of the mainstream polls to unskew if i them to make them be less liberal, they dont look like this anymore with 20 straight polls for obama. instead they look like this. hey, yeah, thats way better. mitt romney is actually winning all of the recent polls tha...

They would stop bothering him is just apparent to the american people. you cant miss it. >> sean: youve been saying, theres no way romney is going to lose this election. and you have your own thoughts, methodology, and polls to back up what youre saying. look, i dont feel i can predict here right now. i cant tell you whats going to happen on november 6th. >> i can. >> sean: i would urge the romney campaign to act like its the fourth quarter, youre down a touchdown, and they need no-huddle offens...