Page 203 - Methodology News Today

Obama 51% to 45%. in comparison, real clear politics average shows a dead heat with obama leading by one tenth of a point. joining us, frank newport. how do you explain the fact your poll is so out of line with seven others national polls which show obama with a small lead or romney with a lead of just one point? >> well, there are many different explanation. we spend most of our time looking at our own method doling, how we do it. its a seven day rolling average of the one you quoted. a large s...

Dont talk on land lines. our methodology is extremely solid. were open about how we do it. so i would say what were doing is great and not the unusual that people would fight back that dont hike what you find. >> lets talk and get into the weeds. people seem interested in polling methodology. the big complaint made about the gallup poll is how you judge whos a likely voter. they say you put too much emphasis on how enthusiastic is voter is and may overstate the effect of a big event. the first d...

Mitt romney either, but barack obamas the guy thats asking to be hired again. and ive just got to say -- youve got to think after the second debate, this presidents laid out no plan for the next four years, no plan. thats got to be devastating in some voters eyes. >> i think that may explain the numbers you saw, however flawed the methodology may be on the economic poll, where it is easier when youre the challenger to say "x" is not working, and theres not as much pressure to say put in me as "y...

Attacking the methodology calling this flawed and untrue. nobody complains about the methodology when they are ahead. the romney folks have only recently stopped complaining about the methodology of all of the polling being done. their complaining stopped when romney started doing better in the polls a couple weeks ago. in terms of the swing states, this is how things look. president obama in pennsylvania with a 4-point lead. the president down three points in just the span of a couple weeks. in...

That form of voting in person early voting has traditionally leaned more democratic. this year it appears to be following that trend. look at this headline from yesterday. obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted. but the numbers are amazing. president obama leads mitt romney by 28 points among early voters. it should be noted that the romney campaign has been complaining about it and trying to discredit it. today mitt romneys political director released a memo attacking the meth...

Mitt romneys 47% comments. of course president obama did not reference those comments during the first debate and its an omission that angered some of his supporters. the president also has to walk a fine line, though, because this is a town hall debate. so aides say he will be firm, but he will also be respectful. now, in what some will see as a sign of anxiety, the obama campaign is pushing back against the latest gallup poll which shows mitt romney and president obama tied among women in key ...

Just as the romney campaign is complaining about the methodology of the poll of early voters that shows president obama with a nearly 30-point margin among early voters, now its the obama campaigns turn to complain for the first time about the methodology in this new swing state poll. the chief pollster releasing a memo attacking this "usa today" gallup poll as unsound. whatever you think about the methodology, you can see why the obama campaign would be worried about a poll like this. if other ...

You are going to vote. its bad how who is going to vote. the models are crazy. >> the two polls are designed to convince everybody the election is over. >> democrats engaged in polling earlier this week questioning the methodology of the poll put romney up four points over barack obama. both parties have a tortured emotional lelationship with polling. why do we continue to listen? more importantly, what are the polls actually telling us? joining us is nate silver, author of "the signal and the n...

Seeing and the changes in pew as well as gallup is to represent the census more. while they might trend more democratic because they are acknowledging the minority groups that exist in the country it makes them more accurate. megyn: we have a hard break. well be right back. okay. this what is happens. this is what happens on live tv. we have a minute. finish your point, marjorie. >> i was going to tell tucker we should get our tinfoil hats and geek out in the basement over the methodology figure...

We got internal e-mails between gallup employees when axlerod sent this tweet criticizing their methodology. they were intimidated. guam does polling for the government and guam has been sued about it justice department for overbilling. there are pressure points you could exert on gallup if you were the government. im not saying that is what happened. im saying this is a big deal because the gallup nightly tracking poll is the same question over a long period of time and its value is looking at ...