Page 647 - Midterm News Today

Mess with it all you want. on the democratic side if they flip nevada and arizona look where we are. were back at 51 - 49. thats where we started. about 47 hours away will get some data and see this map fill in. >> remember being up there 2016, watching that map. >> speaking of history, midterms will not usually tied to the party in the white house with few exceptions. presidents have lost congressional seats after they won the president. here with morris chris wallace and analyst. [inaudible] g...

Exclusions to some degree of the economy. >> i think it is an open question. whether the trump 2016 playbook that hes using as his closing argument will actually work what is on the ballot. when there is a lot of independence and women that have had two years to get really angry about his rhetoric. and when he does not have hillary. i think that this closing argument based on immigration, chris, help them keep a narrow set of senate seats but i think definitely hurts when youre talking about the...

American people kind of look to that possibility of having a divided congress with a house held by the democrats and the senate continuing to be held by the republicans as a good formula. >> neil: what you make what can tip in the final hours before votes begin? it was 1980 when ronald reagan and jimmy carter were tied. then by election day, -- in 1994, the democrats are bracing themselves and republicans picking up lot of seats. they didnt expect them to pick up more than 50. what do you look f...

Agenda and launch investigations into his administration. but, if the gop keeps his majorities in the house and senate, that would traditional losses for the presidents party in the first midterm. then mr. trump will be a more commanding position than ever. we begin with coverage of the battle for congress two days out. with peter doocy on the campaign trail in hialeah, florida. peter? reporter: good morning, chris. democrats believe they built the biggest battlefield for the house s say it is a...

How do you look at it? >> there is some evidence. quinnipiac had a poll this morning in florida and we saw it in both cases in the governor s rates and the senate race that independents were going heavily towards the democratic candidates for those offices. is it typical of other states? we dont know. we did see some movement in florida this morning. >> neil: as you are speaking, we are showing the average of polls we are getting. we talked about in the midterms, the voter who gets to the poll. ...

Versus donald trump presidential election. this is a midterm. with midterms you voting for house and senate, you voting for governorships. theyre looking at some policies and say they want change. >> neil: you know this better than i do. what i see -- you have a sense that, every number im seeing saying democrat will take the house. many are phony little worms. >> i think we dont have a clue who will win. in you ask -- if you ask me do i think the democrats win the house and they have narrow pat...

In 20 sexting we all sat in this room and watch something that was so remarkable take place so here we are two years later, all that pent up energy for people who have been resisting this president and people who happen supporting this president, thats what is going to come down to. these are so many close races. >> one key point and i look at the fact that in the average first midterm, the presidents new party loses 28 seats in the house, presidents can be very popular and get big crowds, but t...

In 2016 we all sat in his room and watched something that was so remarkable take place in so here we are two years later with the pent up energy of people who have been resisting this president and people who have been supporting this president and that is what it will come down to here because these areop close races speed. >> i look at the fact that in the average first midterm the presidents party i loses 28 ses in the house and presidents can be very popular and get big crowds but their name...

As big as 2016, but you know what? in a way he may be right. heres why. yes, the enthusiasm is there. theres no doubt about it in terms of 2018. the asterisk here is that he isnt on the ballot. yes his agenda is on the ballot and all that but he is not. we know there is a book called from drew weston, the political brain, talks about people vote with their heart, not with heir they head. and they vote for the candidate themselves. if trump is not on that ballot. the question is will it make a di...

Voted. some of them, as they say, are being cannibalized. they would have voted on election day, and other voting said here. i bet -- back in 2014 we had 36% of the country voting in the midterm. in the presidential election, we had 60%. my guess is that it will be closer to a presidential election then the midterm. with donald trump, its all about him. >> melissa: he addressed that very question. we have the sound bite, as if the referendum is on him. listen. >> its very important, even though ...