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Lower US interest rates, bond yields, DXY: what can fuel the next leg of rally in Indian equities

If US interest rates fall further and bond yields ease, more money will start flowing into emerging markets. As the worlds fastest-growing major economy with a massive demographic dividend, India is likely to be one of the favourite markets for institutional investors.
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Indian policymakers, investors need to remain cautious amid rising US rates and treasury yields

Growth in the US has been boosted by a doubling of the federal fiscal deficit, from $1 trillion in the previous year to $2 trillion in FY ended September 2023. This increase in estimated supply of bonds would then keep yields on US government bonds elevated. In addition to raising interest costs for the government and affecting borrowing rates in the US, the yield on US government bonds also drives up rates for a substantial part of global cross-border capital flows. This is textbook crowding o...
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fed: Well-Fed rate makes for mid-term worry - The Economic Times

The Fed expects the rate to be around 5% by end-2024, and 4% a year later, compared to todays 5.25-5.50%. These levels are higher than expectations earlier this year. Further, the strong US growth figure for the September quarter, at 4.9%, provides little incentive for rate-cutting. This has driven US treasury yields higher and roiled world markets. Geopolitical uncertainty hasnt helped either. Indian markets are closely correlated with global markets.
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