Page 41 - One Point News Today

Pennsylvania. with the exception of our race in 2008. its going to be competitive. first of, all your point about it is the republican open seat, so if the democrats are going to win that in terms of the chest match that is the senate, that increases the degree of difficulty for republicans so critically. the reason its tightened up largely is because of a bunch of suburban voters moving to us. republicans have come home to him. republican-leaning independents. youve got to remember, one, a long...

Basically, what was each campaign hoping to achieve through tonights debate, and what are they saying afterwards about whether they achieved it? >> going into the debate night, we were expecting to hear herschel walker make an aggressive push to try and tie senator warnock to president joe biden. joe biden does not have a very high approval rating in the state, in a poll, by the agency, back in september, among lightly georgia voters. the presidents approval rating overall was 37%. weve seen wal...

I want to show you this. this is in 2020. this is what the final poll average look like in each one of those states. ohio has that big senate race this year. j. d. vance, tim ryan. wisconsin had the senate race, we were just talking about it. mandela barnes, ron johnson. the final numbers in 2020, the average, trump was leading ohio by one point. we were talking about could biden win ohio. biden seemed to be in control and wisconsin, 6. 7 was his average lead. there was a poll that had him up 17...

Generic ballot is not what wed expected to be given where joe bidens approval rating is. the other complicating factor is, take a closer look at the generic ballot. this is tracking it since may. you could see it changed a bit as the years went along. republicans had a significant lead of the generic ballot earlier this year. got into june, when the supreme court decision, roe v. wade reversal came down. look, by the middle of the summer, democrats actually pulled ahead on the generic ballot. th...

Came down. look, by the middle of the summer, democrats actually pulled ahead on the generic ballot. they maintain that lead through the middle of september. republicans, more recently, have regained the lead. again, its less than a point. nine tenths of a point is this a situation where democrats could put themselves in position with the generic ballot? will they have that biden approval rating be the turn permitting factor here? lets talk about these big picture dynamics. joining us is david p...

With a republican seat and the democrats leaving the polling average. on paper, this is the best opportunity for democrats. it is tightening. what do you attribute it to, and are you, as a democrat, nervous about pennsylvania right now? >> you never super comfortable, steve, as you know, in pennsylvania. with the exception of our race in 2008. its going to be competitive. first of, all your point about it is the republican open seat, so if the democrats are going to win that in terms of the ches...

Aggressive push to try and tie senator warnock to president joe biden. joe biden does not have a very high approval rating in the state, in a poll, by the agency, back in september, among lightly georgia voters. the presidents approval rating overall was 37%. weve seen walker do that throughout the campaign, when i was speaking to sources close to the walker campaign. they were adamant that he was going to aggressively make that point tonight. we saw him try to bring that up a number of times. w...

Bush in 2002. what those translated into, the numbers, like bidens, and trumps case, obamas case, clintons case, those were dozens of lost seats, and the presidents party lost control of the house in each one of those elections. bidens approval rating puts them in that category. simple story, right? no. heres where it gets complicated. another thing we look at that is the generic ballot, the question asks, which party would you like to vote? for democrats, republicans to control congress. you se...

They have not been really evenly distributed. they havent been every state missing the same way. theres been one particular region in the country where the misses, the gap between where the polling is and where the election results and up, thats the midwest. with that in mind, there are two states in particular that are crucial to that battle for senate control this year. where there were some significant polling. this was both in 2016, and in 2020. they are ohio and wisconsin. i want to show yo...

Critically. the reason its tightened up largely is because of a bunch of suburban voters moving to us. republicans have come home to him. republican-leaning independents. youve got to remember, one, a long way out, but josh shapiro looks like he is in a strong position. youre going to have top of the ticket theyre winning, probably, several points above 50%, or over 50%. thats a helpful dynamic for fetterman. there is no doubt. most of the gains have been oz, basically getting the vote he was go...