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Rare Sell Signal As Everyone Is Invested – Investment Watch

Generally, oil stocks are correlated with the price of oil which makes perfect sense because oil producers sell the commodity. Plus, oil services companies raise prices when oil goes up and are forced to take concessions when they fall. That being said, owning oil stocks can be better than buying the commodity since you the benefit from capital returns. Furthermore, just because these firms produce and service commodities doesn’t mean individual ones don’t have certain competitive advantage...
United States Patrick Hill Patrickhill Martin Pelletier Mpelletier Jesse Felder Martin Pelletier Thunderdome Capital

Small business jobs engine stalling; Southern California housing looks and feels EXACTLY like 2007-08 right now. Should end well. – Investment Watch

As of April 2021, the M1 supply has gone from $4.5T to $18.1, a rise of 450%. Such data represents a pretty bad report card for the Fed’s failed monetary experiment of unlimited #QE. The Fed’s solution to the problem? Hide it. pic.twitter.com/m3fAjV1Ci4 Consequences? Here you got the consequences. It means defaults wont come from debt defaults, but from lack of ability to sell anything due to lack of staff or the need to pay 300% more forcing demand for some goods to drop same as revenues...
United States Patrick Hill Patrickhill Greyerz Goldswitzerland David Phineas Taylor Barnum Small Business Jobs Engine Stalling Patrick Hill

Economic Slowdown Deepens (Double Dip Recession?) – Investment Watch

This is the first truly terrible jobless claims report since the slowdown started. There will be even more job losses in January than in December, but investors will probably ignore this as the vaccines are set to stop the virus’ spread in the next few months (14.3 million vaccines have gone out in the US). The main questions are how deep this slowdown gets and when it ends. We could easily see sharp job creation starting as early as March or April. Specifically, in the week ending January 9t...
United States Patrick Hill Patrickhill Gregory Daco Gregdaco Goldman Sachs University Of Michigan Gregory Daco

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