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November 19, 2017
Questions now for the last couple of weeks pretty straight up. he hasnt done so. is it likely hell do so in the next couple of weeks? >> i would be stunned if he did. he doesnt want to answer the question and to joshs point a minute ago i think hes right. theres going to be a turnout effect. and some persuasion effect. its not large but it doesnt need to be large if you look at the fox poll that came out this week hes losing a significant number of young people as well as republican women. and y...
November 2, 2016
And certainly, when we look at these early vote numbers, they point to a very motivated latino base, and thats registered democrats, and thats also potentially registered republicans and cuban voters crossing over. >> let me get a quick question about the teiming of this. did this survey include the period after that fbi letter came out on friday? >> so, thats an important question, and i will tell you the vast majority of the survey or respondents were interviewed before last friday. we did int...
November 2, 2016
Is the same thing that were seeing in the national surveys in that you really arent seeing a persuasion effect here. and i think to the extent that it has been reported as weve seen some of the national surveys tighten after last friday that really hasnt been about democratic voters defecting from secretary clinton. its been about a difference in turnout intensity. thats really not a great way to measure intensity when youre asking people whether or not theyre likely to vote. in this case weve s...