Page 4 - Polling Error News Today

In the midwest, in the west, in the south. if you go back to 2016, theyre pretty much all centered in the midwest. all he needed was a midwest earn polling error and he won. here democrats could still win because then they would still be doing well in the west, northeast and south. >> we will go back to the panel. the divisive rhetoric of the last couple of weeks, how the president has handled the violence of the mail bombs, the shooting in pittsburgh, are there any polls that give you an indica...

The democratic party calls it out, calls a dog whistle. does the white house have a point here that it is about this distraction? >> i mean yeah. i mean, look, i think that the idea that this blue wave, i dont understand where this is coming from. i dont really get that. i mean, im looking at the same numbers that everyone else is looking at. im looking at the national numbers. yeah, perhaps it is not going to be a stsunami. >> he looks at these numbers and maybe he doesnt need to see fact based...

Benefit the republicans but could also benefit the democrats. >> the women vote as you know could ends up being significant in these midterms. a lot of suburban women voted for president trump in 2016. could this be the same case in november for women in particular? >> it cob. i could also point out biggest gender gap in the election. so i could say of course it cob the case that the polls are mott measuring women voters in the sub bushes. but another thing ill point out that is important. there...

Ten-part series. a week before the election, let me give him his props, he he was one of the few when he warned this, donald trump still has a chance. hes just a normal polling error behind. hey harry, i should point out that in nates piece he says, look, this is not the only reason and its not necessarily the most important factor but its a significant issue nonetheless. explain. >> sure. i mean look, hillary clinton should never have been in a position to lose this election to donald trump who...

The senior political citer a wr analyst of the 538 who did a ten-part series. he was one of the few when he warned this, donald trump still has a chance. hes just a normal polling error behind. hey harry, i should point out that in nates piece he says, look, this is not the only reason and its not necessarily the most important factor but its a significant issue nonetheless. explain. >> sure. i mean look, hillary clinton should never have been in a position to lose this election to donald trump ...

Models are based on input. >> thats right. >> and in a sense it may be fair to say since the polls were wrong -- garbage in, garbage out. heres my question, though, this was not just a few polls. in the last five months im guessing there were about 150, 200 polls done. maybe trump was up in 15, 20 of those. hillary was up in the vast majority. vast, vast, vast majority. why were they so wrong? >> its hard to say at this point but i think its worth clarifying how they were wrong. it seems to me t...

Is important to understand. not to get you off the hook, but models are based on input. >> thats right. >> and in a sense, it may be fair to say since the polls were wrong, garbage in, garbage out. heres my question, though. this was not just a few polls. in the last five months, im guessing there were about 150, 200 polls done. maybe trump was up in 15, 20 of those. hillary was up in the vast majority. vast, vast, vast majority. why were they all so wrong? >> i think its hard to say at this poi...

Voting. the fact of the matter is if you want to enact change, you have to get involved. i dont mean for the folks on the street, i mean for the folks who voted for donald trump, and everybody who has a say in what our democracy is. >> some of the anger may be no other way to say it, a shocking outcome. you said its totally over. if trump wins more than 240 votes i think i will eat a bug. we dont want you to eat a bug, but all the polls were wrong. >> i made a promise. >> all the polls were wron...

Races, three or four points for the presidency, and basically, it was -- its a polling error thats pretty large and as a race that was pretty for that l narrowly contested. undecided voters who made their minds up at the last minute or who are able to state their preference, maybe they werent away what their preference is, because donald trump is a uniquely popplarizing candidate. theres something strongly polarizing about him and whats happening on the streets is almost certainly a reaction to ...

The polling error. >> they say there were machine issues early on. they have lines and theyre trying to keep the polls open in this county. 2.8%, about 3% of the states population. why are democrats saying keep it open? lets go back in history. here in 2012, durham county, 76% for the democrat, president obama. 23% for mitt romney. if you go back to 2008 when president obama carried the state pretty much the same. you pull out to the map here. thats 2008. go back to 2012. obviously this area of ...