Polling Model News Today

in his hush money trial on thursday. today, he delivered a rambling response to the verdict. well look at what comes next legally and politically. and after days of uncertainty, labour leader sir keir starmer says diane abbott can run on his partys ticket. and well bring you up to date with everything else thats been happening on the campaign trail here in the uk. for weeks now, there have been talks and antipication around a ceasefire deal to end the conflict in gaza, and for weeks, t...

Evening, the virginia governors race tightened in the closing weeks of the campaign with the democrats losing some of their early advantage. we have reporters at the headquarters of both candidates in virginia. first to brianna keilar, covering the democratic candidate, lieutenant governor ralph northam. brianna, theyre hoping for a win, of course, this evening, but the polls have been tightening. and not in the direction ralph northam wanted them to go. >> thats exactly right, jake. and that is...

Theres always one part thats true, which is polls -- a lot of people, certainly 60% are eating it. hes saying the polls are bogus. but there is a big change. its confusing to people. the margins of error are different. so how is cnn at 5 but another reputable place is 12? what are the assumptions you see that account for that? >> you even see this when you talk to the campaigns, the two parties. the under lying assumptions they use to build their polling model. who do we think is going to show u...

If the polling model that you built at "the new york times" and the way you explain the polling is somehow biassed or wrong or evil. i feel like you are waging a one-man war against e pneumonia rossty in explaining how polling works. how has the week been? >> its been a trip where you become a subject of conversation yourself and theres this celebrity level attached to it thats new for me e. but there are other websites that do the same thing that we do. they all show basically the same thing. t...

How do you assess that? >> today was proof he does not have momentum, there were 19 polls released today in battleground states. and mitt romney led in zero of those polls. there were two ties and obama led in 17. thats not what we were seeing two weeks ago where romney pulled ahead in virginia and colorado and florida and had drown ohio down to a one-point lead. if anything, obama has momentum. he was declared the winner of the final two debates. im not sure how the hurricane is playing for him...

If the polling model that you built at "the new york times" and the way you explain the polling is somehow biased or wrong or evil. i feel like you are waging a one-man war against pneumonia rossty in explaining how polling works. how has the week been? >> its been a trip where you become a subject of conversation yourself and theres this celebrity level attached to it thats new for me e. but there are other websites that do the same thing that we do. they all show basically the same thing. ther...

Here from the big gap in gallup. its not that big. but i do think there is a growing likelihood, ed, that that could happen. romney wins the popular vote, loses the electoral. >> just want to pick up on the cell phone really, really fast. if you were today creating a polling model, it would be completely different. theyve adjusted for the cell phones -- >> they say, they say. >> theyve adjusted, whereas in reality, you would start today completely different. >> yeah. >> so yes, we factor in the ...

Recent polling in the presidential race and a trend that seems to show president obama with a growing lead over governor romney. but are the polls built on a faulty formula? that whats we are hearing from a small but growing group of political pros. but is that fair? joining me now two veteran pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clintons pollster. but hes not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about ho...