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April 25, 2024
It's the moment you've all been waiting for: Today, 538 launched our interactive polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election. Specifically, as of April 25 at 9 a.m. Eastern, our national polling average shows 40.9 percent of likely voters would support Biden if the election were held today, while 41.6 percent would support Trump. To communicate this, we are also publishing uncertainty intervals for our horse-race averages for the first time.
January 1, 2024
From Trump to Tesla and Oppenheimer to Ohtani, here are our predictions for 2024 — written by Vox’s Future Perfect team.
December 18, 2023
There’s a distinctly Trumpian quality to the self-justifications proffered by the fundamentalist political scientists.
November 20, 2023
In a gripping twist worthy of the wrestling ring, World Wrestling Entertainment Inc. shareholders have stepped into the legal arena, launching a lawsuit against founder Vincent McMahon and the upper echelons of the company. The bone of contention? Allegations of breached fiduciary duties linked to WWE's September fusion with a subsidiary of Endeavor Group Holdings
November 9, 2023
And, not surprisingly, about parties.
August 23, 2023
Why hasn’t Ron DeSantis caught on?
August 2, 2023
A 54-year-old Democrat representing the suburbs west of Minneapolis, Phillips is indeed exploring a run. Many DFLers say it's a "distraction."
August 1, 2023
To many Democrats it’s an unwelcome “distraction.”
December 7, 2022
“The Republican Party is in the midst of an identity crisis,” one scholar says.
November 18, 2022
John Fettermans lawsuit to reverse the Pennsylvania Supreme Courts decision to not count misdated ballots is not proof of a stolen election.