Robert Jarrow News Today

Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell said that we “don’t really know” why long-term bond yields have been going up.

Researchers have built a new, interpretable machine-learning framework that captures stock- and industry-specific information and predicts financial returns with greater accuracy than traditional models.

This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 1% to 2%.

The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 125 trading days, widening this week to a negative 91 basis points.

The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 115 trading days, with the spread steady this week at a negative 76 basis points.

The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 105 trading days, with the spread wider this week at a negative 74 basis points.

1-month forward U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 5.60%. Read why future expenses that all investors are trying to cover with their investments are an important part of investment strategy.

The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 82 trading days, widening to a negative 39 bp from negative 28 bp last week. Read more here.

This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 1% to 2%. Read more here.

The 2 year/10 year spread in the US Treasury market has now been negative for 72 trading days. The spread is currently minus 48 basis points.