Romney Lead News Today

In from outside gallup, the university of michigan, texas, maryland. weve really taken the hood off to look at what we did last fall to try to answer your question. four things, likely voter estimation. we had obama up by three points among registered voters, which is about where he was at the end. won by about 3.85%. moved it down to a one-point romney lead, and that was more than the average for all other models of a similar fashion out there and we think we overcorrected. so the model itself ...

Same thing day in and day out. look at these polls. and they go, were up by three. look at these polls, no matter where you went, look at our -- 3%, 4%, 5%. how did you guys get it so wrong? it wasnt just the likely voter approach. what changed from what youve done through all the years to 2012? >> well, there are other factors. there were times when certainly we did have him up. we think romney may have been up at times, even if the smoothed over polls of the obama administration did not show i...

And were in the process and have already changed to. >> how do you get to likely voters? how do you nail down likely voters? was that an issue at all for you last fall? >> we think it was. keep in mind, i think obama won by about four points. the average poll said obama was going to win by one point. the whole industry had some things going on that were not right last fall. and hopefully were helping to contribute to understand the whole industry. weve used a model for many years. we ask people ...

Romney is seriously competing in these states, should they have spent money earlier to shore up those voting blocks, to make sure it wasnt even close? that they cant make a real play? >> you know, listen, i think when you look at this battleground map, and this has been one of the most difficult races to get kind of a handle on because you have national polls, you know, most of them showing a small, narrow romney lead. you have battleground polls showing a small, narrow obama lead. it is a very ...

Different than the person that youll only find the innovative sleep number bed at one of our he showed himself to be in 2008. 400 stores, where queen mattresses start at just $699. i mean, you talk about the smallest of things, bayonets, big bird, a dunce cap on romney, >> sean: and this is a fox news alert. con edison in new york is reporting that large portions of accusing him of murder, dirty mid town manhattan are now air and aware. a pro obama super pac just came without power. over 250,000...

Showing dead even. slight romney lead. 15 out of the 1560 some-odd survey recipients 15 more people for romney than obama. wees have the cbo, "new york times," quinnipiac point six weeks ago that showed 6-point lead. but the poll is 8% more democrat than republican for a state for example in 2010 was one point more republican. and the "columbus dispatch" is dead especially republican and democrat. >> bret: that is the three and the two and the one? >> one is any other state. if romney wins three...

Showing dead even. slight romney lead. 15 out of the 1560 some-odd survey recipients 15 more people for romney than obama. wees have the cbo, "new york times," quinnipiac point six weeks ago that showed 6-point lead. but the poll is 8% more democrat than republican for a state for example in 2010 was one point more republican. and the "columbus dispatch" is dead especially republican and democrat. >> bret: that is the three and the two and the one? >> one is any other state. if romney wins three...

are not yet able to make a projection, piers. lets give it a little time for some more official numbers to come in. once they come in based on those numbers and these exit poll numbers, well be in a better position to make a projection. >> wolf acti, youre making thi sound as exciting as you always do but you are a master of this process. are we at the end game? if mitt romney was to win all three tonight, this is pretty much game over, isnt it? >> not necessarily. its almost game over...

Romney lead. real clear politics gives him a larger margin in as. arizonians complain theyre not getting enough attention from the candidates. the primary is the same day as michigan with arizona being a winner take all state for the 29 delegates. its thought second place would be a losing proposition. >> thank you. were learning more about why the president reversed himself on supporting you dont see super pacs. the pro-obama action u.s. super pac raised $59,000 in january and almost all from...

Romney lead. i will be surprised in he beats ron paul and santorum. i come back to this fact and he would you sayside it earlier. mitt romney got 2 a% of the vote in 2008 against a pretty tough field. i think he really ought to do as well this time honestly. he comes back four years later, is he better known. he has had four years of publicity as the leading republic critic of barack obama. running against ron paul who, in my opinion isnt really a credible nominee. rick santorum from-to-his cred...