Page 24 - Sam Wang News Today

Hillary clinton, because prior to this, it was a really interesting split screen and theres beyonce over there without any graphic explanation. but now weve got it. and we also have the breaking news, which deserves to be on the screen too. which is that sam wang is giving this now a 99% certainty, josh, that hillary clintons going to win. >> yeah, i wish were as confident as sam is. >> thats because you cant do calculations with -- what was it? 72 quadrillion possibilities. >> i think he can. >...

Just four nights from now, nbc news will be projecting the winner of the presidential election. joining us now is john lapinski, who will be in charge of making that decision to make that projection as the director of elections for nbc news. so, john, 10:20 p.m. tuesday night. might we know as early as then? >> look, i mean, we really dont know this early on in the sense of when were going to be projecting this. i mean, i saw you had sam wang on earlier. >> 99% chance. >> theres a lot of people ...

That they have given us instructions about exactly how many seconds of these songs we are allowed to show you on tv. we do not have the legal right to show you any more than what we just did. so, we have a new projection tonight from sam wang, the founderer of princeton universitys election consortium. professor, as of tonight, what are the chances that beyonce gets her wish and her daughter gets to see a woman president of the united states? >> i think that beyonce should keep on reassuring her...

The polls and he, even though he supposedly is this brilliant business manager, didnt bother to actually set up a real campaign. so the clinton campaign is miles ahead of him in terms of getting out their own infrequent and first-time voters, and we see that in particular with the latino turnout that surged across the country. >> and is now josh barrows turn to share the stage with beyonce. >> good luck, buddy. >> something josh is probably used to by now. >> typical friday night. >> right. now,...

Of 35.9 million early votes have been cast in 2016 with 16.7 million in 12 key battleground states. more registered democrats have voted in eight of those key battleground states while more republicans have voted in three, in florida, an equal number have voted with a record 4.8 million early votes already cast. just four nights from now, nbc news will be projecting the winner of the presidential election. joining us now is john lapinski, who will be in charge of making that decision to make tha...

Everybodys watching the presidential race but im just saying that from a statistical point of view, it seems pretty likely that the presidency is going in a particular direction. and so i think that for anybody who is concerned about whats going to happen, the thing to watch very closely is senate races for activists who are interested in making a difference, close senate races and places like nevada and new hampshire and north carolina. thats the place to be in terms of where the probabilities ...

50/50 and in the event of a clinton presidency, that means that vice president kaine would break ties and that means that the democrats would have control. however, it comes down to seven races that are all within 3 percentage points and honestly, whoever wins four of those senate races will end up in control of the senate so this really could go either way. >> so for now, presidential race has no suspense. the senate is where the suspense still is. >> well, look, obviously, everybodys watching ...

The shutdown is favoring us. people understand theyre getting hurt by republican partisanship. they want a team in congress thats going to provide solutions. >> thank you, congressman steve israel. >> thank you, karen. joining me now, ej dijon and professior sam wang. thank you for joining me. >> good to be with you. >> ej, you heard me talking with the congressman, you know, this lessons of sort of 2005, 2006, i mean, obviously, it is hard to look in our crystal ball and see whats happening a...

0 2006, i actually didnt expect to see this kind of confluence of factors again for sometime. now, a number of public opinion polls show most of the anger and blame for the shutdown is aimed at the gop. in unpress departmented numbers even more so than the 1995 shutdown. its raised a possibility that no one would have considered just two weeks ago. could we see a tidal wave of democratic support in the 2014 midterms? the latest nbc news/"wall street journal" poll shows backing for the tea party ...

0 senators have now gone on record to say defaulting on the debt wouldnt be that big of a deal. october 17th, thats the day thats front and center in this game of congressional chicken. so far no one is blinking, but a lot of finger pointing going all around. >> were arriving at a point in a few days, were not going to pay our bills. this is america. were not asking the speaker to do something thats unreasonable. >> i want to have a conversation. im not drawing any lines in the sand. its time fo...