>> whatever you want. >> let's see if black hawk county appears. do you see that? black hawk county is the university of northern iowa. it's got a decent population. county population of 4% of the entire state. ranks 5 out of 99. that is something to watch throughout the evening. a bit of a sample. just in the time we were talking johnson county went from blue to orange and orange is nikki haley. a race that we will watch throughout the night. >> it is no pottawatomie county, but is up there. not as good as punxsutawney. that's a close call. we will check back with you soon. thank you so much. you mentioned nikki haley. she is speaking live in clive, iowa. >> eighth graders are proficient in reading. only 27% of 8th graders are proficient in math. we can't be okay with that. i'm the daughter of legal immigrants who came here 50
the caucuses. those counties were critical to ted cruz winning in 2016. the question here for trump s how many of those has he won over? how many inroads has he made with evangelical christian voters? the question for ron desantis who is trying to get into second, trying to have a surprise night tonight, he's really targeted evangelical voters. how many of those 42 huckabee/khan tropical storm/cruz counties can desantis win? i'll give you a sample here. take a look here, winnebago county 2016, trump finished third. this was a huckabee/santorum/cruz county. this was cruz's best county in the state. trump got buried here. they're small, rural, generally all over the state where desantis has to overperform if he's going to have a surprise statewide. the other type of county where donald trump struggled in 2016 was very different, more
the very lied screen. you're not look at people who voted before, we have caucus before, you said, are you likely to caucus, and i think that is important with the number of first-time caucus goers going to donald trump with really large support. is there a methodology of this polling in apply it to a general election given that phenomenon? >> we do, that we choose a different sample from. we start with the secretary of state's voted list, some very high proportions of iowans who are registered to vote if they are eligible to be there. and then we don't care if you voted before. we don't care if you've been inactive for a while. . we cast a very wide net. because there is this crossover of voters because their first-time caucus goers and we
up donald trump because that sets her up for a one—on—one contest in new hampshire where the two significant candidates. so that has been her strategy and we will see if she can pull that off. as for coming in first, i don't think she is expecting that. she has not been setting that expectation. she desperately wants to be the main alternative to the donald trump. it is interesting though, because in the sample we have just did, we found herfavorability the sample we have just did, we found her favorability numbers the sample we have just did, we found herfavorability numbers have fallen a lot in iowa and republicans it she's barely above water at 48% favourable 48% unfavorable —— 46% unfavorable as there is a good percent that don't necessarily like the mess that she is bringing. thank ou so the mess that she is bringing. thank you so much — the mess that she is bringing. thank you so much for— the mess that she is bringing. thank you so much for your _ the mess that she is bringing. thank you so much for your time _ the mess that she is bringing. thank you so much for your time and - the mess that she is bringing. thank you so much for your time and of. you so much for your time and of course please do keep watching bbc news and check our website because we will continue to bring you updates on the caucuses and tomorrow is the big day.
barack obama into presidency in 2008 and what it shows us no state number one is going to be a diverse sample of what our country looks like but anybody can come make their pitch to voters and be launched into presidency so that's what iowa has to offer and why it is critical. authenticity, transparency and accessibility is what islands expect and what americans should expect to do think the issues you talked about earlier, border situation, are those the same ones represented, the same issues that bother i was stepfather the rest of the country? >> absolutely. i did three in person town halls last week and the border came up at every single one. it is an issue here because iowa has interstate 35 and 80 that come through so not only do we see the impact of human trafficking but also the impact of drugs and damage cartels are doing in our communities so it's
in this part are ballistic missiles provided by iran to the houthis. you also have some weapons which are cruise missiles and you have munitions and uavs, all of these different munitions are part of the uranian arsenal and all of these, this is a small sample of the ones that made it from iran over the last few years or decades into the hands of the houthis. >> what does retaliation look like ? >> talking about retaliation, you need a lot of intelligence to do that . if the utes not go after us, we have to look at them through various means that we have. those means include things like the global hot, satellite, the predator drones so these two drones cover tactical and strategic targets, more strategic targets or satellite imagery, intelligence, those kinds of things are the bread and butter of the intelligence
knockout win on monday. how do you think that the turnout might affect that or the other campaigns? you know, a low sample makes iowa, you know, could it make the iowa wild card possibly even wilder? >> i mean, it could. but i -- you know, i don't think it's going to be a low turnout. i think a lot of people are going brave the elements and find a way to get there -- especially trump supporters. his base and people are so passionate about him. the cult of personality around him is stronger than with any other candidate. they will find a way to get there and show support for him. at his rallies in iowa he's told people how important to say caucus and support him. he wants a big victory, he's like, we can't get it done unless we get it done in iowa first. >> you're talking about trump's enduring popularity. what's the move about the other candidates? what are people saying -- obviously trump has that huge lead. does it feel like nikki haley is really gaining momentum there,
these are just a small sample of the ones that have made it from iran over the last few years or decades into the hands of the houthis. >> what could retaliation look like? >> when you talk about retaliation, you need a lot of intelligence in order to do that. if the houthis are going to go after us, we're going to have to look at them through various means that we have. those means include things like the global hawk, satellite and, of course, the predator drones. these two drones cover tactical and strategic targets, more strategic targets through satellite imagery, signals intelligence, those kinds of things basically the bread and butter of the intelligence picture we'll need for this area. it's very hard to get human intelligence resources in there because it's, frankly, a denied area to us for the most part, but these technical means will allow us to intercept communications and take images of all the different things we'll need to see before we go
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he's since paid the irs back what he opens in taxes and penalties. the trial now set for june 20th, six months away. we turn next tonight to a new pentagon report finding that more than a billion dollars worth of weapons sent to ukraine were not property tracked, including javelins and night vision devices. the report, as congress debates new aid to ukraine, and its troops are seeing setbacks on the battlefield. abc's tom soufi burridge in ukraine for us tonight. >> reporter: tonight, at a critical moment for u.s. support in the war, a new report accuses u.s. officials of failing to account for more than half of the sophisticated weapons supplied to ukraine in a sample that was under review. the defense department's inspector general investigating whether nearly 40,000 items such as stinger missiles and night vision sets were properly tracked, just before and in the months after russia invaded. the report found that more than a billion dollars worth of $1.7 billion in military items under scrutiny were delinquent, or not