Page 2 - Second Midterm News Today

Staff to the obama white house and ceo of macina group. also with us, rich lowry, editor in chief at the national review and nbc news political analysts. i want to thank you both for joining us. jim, let me start with you because i mentioned, i dont mean to bring up bad memories for the past for democrats here, but i mentioned the 2014 midterm and that obamas second midterm, the numbers on paper, when you look at the generic ballot right now, look somewhat like they did in 2014. are we looking a...

And ceo of macina group. also with us, rich lowry, editor in chief at the national review and nbc news political analysts. i want to thank you both for joining us. jim, let me start with you because i mentioned, i dont mean to bring up bad memories for the past for democrats here, but i mentioned the 2014 midterm and that obamas second midterm, the numbers on paper, when you look at the generic ballot right now, look somewhat like they did in 2014. are we looking at 2014. do you think were looki...

Republicans are that big wave in obamas term. lower in 2006 when democrats and george w. bushs second midterm year. but it is notably here, higher than it was at this point in 2014. this was barack obamas second midterm. this was a wave that was kind of a late building wave. it kind of a lot of folks by surprise, in 2014, ended up flipping the senate the republicans did, they got to their highest level in the house, since 1928, and that really didnt materialize in the polls until late. it may be...

Thats the biggest i have seen the republican lead. if you look in context, recent midterm waves. these are all wave elections in the midterms. this is where the generic ballot was at this point. you can see its not on par with what democrats had in the two big wave years, not on par with what republicans had in 2010, when they took 63 seats and won the house. now its the first time we have seen this in a long time. the republican lead and the generic ballot is larger than it was at this point in...

That would have been 98 with bill clinton. he was in the 60s. biden is at a 42% approval rating. 55% disapprove. the last time our poll, the nbc poll was in the field, its been a while, but back in may, it basically looked exactly the same. start of the summer, end of the summer here, bidens approval rating in our poll basically flat. you mentioned also that question of the generic ballot. in our polling, again, comparing late spring, start of the summer, really hasnt budged that much now. repub...

Midterm elections. the only two times in modern history that a white house party has actually picked up seats in midterm elections was bill clinton in 98, george w.h. bush in 92. their approval rates were well above 60%. biden in this range have typically lost seats. this is the generic ballot, which party would you like to see control congress. you see republicans in our poll with a two-point advantage on this question. statistically not much different than the 46-46 tie we found back in may. w...

The country has voted for change in 7 out of the last 8 elections. his party has lost control of the senate, and he goes on to note that joe bidens numbers are the only numbers in modern presidents, and below where biden is right now was donald trump. >> and perhaps to change the tide was to accomplish something on capitol hill. they passed that bipartisan infrastructure bill but they quickly pivoted to when they were going to do this bigger safety net bill. thats in limbo in the senate, and lik...

Getting she lacked at his first and second midterm and then going ton to win reelection. you wonder if president trump will be able to mimic that, and also ride this wave, his trumpian wave in his trumpian style to his own reelection. one thing thats surprising about president trump is that every opportunity to kind of go along to get along he is not taking it. and were seeing that in spades here. and i -- i was among those surprised that the polls were wrong and that he won his election in 2016...

"washington post" poll. the numbers are consistent. presidents approval rating. 43% approve. 53% disapprove. 53% disapprove of the president. 53% say theyll vote for democrats. 42% say theyll vote republican. a direct correlation of what you think of the president and how you will vote for congress in a midterm election year. right around 40, lets take a look at the his ri. this is why republicans are worried. president is up a bit. but look at history. president obama at 45%. three weeks out sa...

Measures were registered to vote or national voter registration day. steve: can republicans use the expected high voter turnout to their advantage. here to weigh in is fox news contributor ari fleischer. what do you make of this? >> well, a couple things. number one, the dropoff from presidential year to midterm year is massive. 45 million americans sit at home, dont vote. steve: why? >> million years get everybody out. midterms only get out the base and people excited. give you three numbers to...