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November 20, 2018
Control of the house in january with a relatively modest majority. because the playing field is tilted against them. in order for democrats to fix that, theyre going to have to win governorships and state legislatures all across the country, and/or theyre going to have to continue to try to convince states either through the courts or through ballot measures to adopt nonpartisan maps in the future that arent tilted either way. in the meantime, though, there are short-term fights to be fought. th...
November 20, 2018
Democrat for their state legislator than voted for a republican. democrats got a majority of the votes. clearly 53% of the votes cast for state legislators or cast for republicans. democrats beat them by an eight point gap in terms of the legislature. and now look at the results in terms of seats won in the legislature. even though democrats got a big majority of the votes, even though the republicans did not get half the votes that were cast for the legislature, republicans got 64% of the seats...
November 20, 2018
Eight points. thats a huge margin. and the pennsylvania legislature will nevertheless come back with republicans holding the majority of the seats. same thing happened in michigan. the majority of voters turned out and volted for who they want them to state legislature. the majority voted for a democrat to be their state legislature. and nevertheless, the majority of seats in the legislature will go to the republicans. same dynamic at work in north carolina. more people voted for a democrat to r...
November 20, 2018
More votes democrats win, they can never get the majority. they can never get control. they can never get power. thats how it happened in wisconsin this year, this month. saw the same thing happen in state after state. heres how it worked in pennsylvania. again, the democrats shellacked republicans in terms of the number of people who turned out and voted for a democrat to represent them in the state legislature. democrats won those votes by eight points. thats a huge margin. and the pennsylvani...
November 20, 2018
Legislatures. and that translates to a national tilt as well, where the democrats have to win by gigantic margins in order to pull in even a modest majority in the u.s. house. nate silver at 538.com today points out the democrats actually had huge turnout in congressional races this year across the country. they had about an eight-point popular vote win over the republicans in congressional races. in terms of raw numbers, quote, about 60 million people turned out to vote for democrats for the ho...