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"IMPOSSIBLE TRINITY IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY: A STATE–SPACE MODEL SIMULA" by Guna Raj Bhatta, Rabindra Nepal et al.

Should monetary policy independence be maintained when the exchange rate is fixed under closed capital account conditions in a small open economy? In this study, we simulate the impossible trinity condition during 1989 to 2019 on the Nepalese economy that restricts capital flows and fixes the exchange rate with India. We modify the traditional Taylor rule based on the monetary policy reaction function to characterize Nepal's economic conditions more closely. The stateโ€“space model simulati...
Impossible Trinity Monetary Policy Independence Policy Simulation State Space Model
Source: uow.edu.au

"Testing for the uncovered interest parity condition in a small open ec" by Guna Raj Bhatta, Rabindra Nepal et al.

Do interest rate differentials smoothly mirror the changes in the exchange rate between a small open economy and a large emerging market economy? The literature provides conflicting views on the validity of the uncovered interest parity condition (UIP), including its size and factors influencing the risk premium. We examine the validity of the UIP condition between Nepal and India using time-series data covering the period 1989 โ€“ 2019. A state space modelling approach based on the Kalman filte...
Kalman Filter Risk Premium State Space Model Uncovered Interest Parity
Source: uow.edu.au

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