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May 13, 2021
We recently completed some interesting research related to one of our newest Custom Indexes – the Commodities to Smart Cash Index (C2SC Heat Index) – weighted by the US Dollar and VIX. We’ve been reviewing this new index for months watching it to see how it reacts to various trends in Lumber, Gold, Treasury Yields, the Smart Cash Index, and other weighted values. Recently, we added the Fed Funds Rate to this chart and suddenly things took on a different perspective. We had...
May 9, 2021
If the face of last week’s sideways price action and almost in a rebellious manner today (May 4, 2021), the Transportation Index is moving higher while the US major indexes are all broadly lower. VIX has shot up over 20 again (over +13% higher) and the NASDAQ is off by more than 300 points (-2.75%) as I write this article. Yet, the Transportation Index is bucking the trends and trading higher. What Does It Mean When The Transportation Index Bucks The Major Index Trends? My team ...
May 6, 2021
Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends. They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”. In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral in nature. My research team and I believe a new Bullish Cycle Phase has begun in Gold and Silver. If our research is correct, the next Advancing Cycle Phase may prompt a broad rally i...
May 5, 2021
We have experienced an incredible rally in many sectors over the past 5+ months. My research team has been pouring over the charts trying to identify how the next few weeks and months may play out in terms of continued trending or risks of some price volatility setting up. We believe the Utilities Sector may hold the key to understanding how and when the US markets will reach some level of stronger resistance as many sector ETFs are trading in new all-time high price ranges. Uti...
April 29, 2021
A recent Forbes article highlights the incredible increase in market leverage since the start of the COVID-19 crisis. There has never been a time in recent history where market leverage has reached these extreme levels. Additionally, highly leveraged market peaks are typically associated with asset bubbles. The easy money policies and global central bank actions have prompted one of the longest easy money market rallies in history. Historically low interest rates, US Federal...
April 29, 2021
As we transition into the early Summer months, we are watching how different market sectors are reacting to the continued shifting of capital over the past 60+ days. One this is very clear, certain market sectors are strengthening while others have run into resistance and are consolidating. We believe the next few weeks and months will continue this type of trend where capital continues to shift away from risks and into sectors that show tremendous strength and opportunity. We w...
April 23, 2021
Navkar Corporation Ltd, Suncare Traders Ltd, Atishay Ltd and Ravikumar Distilleries Ltd are among the other losers in the BSEs B group today, 23 April 2021. Navkar Corporation Ltd, Suncare Traders Ltd, Atishay Ltd and Ravikumar Distilleries Ltd are among the other losers in the BSEs B group today, 23 April 2021. Jagsonpal Pharmaceuticals Ltd lost 9.95% to Rs 95.95 at 14:34 IST.The stock was the biggest loser in the BSEs B group.On the BSE, 1.25 lakh shares were traded on the counter so far as a...
April 21, 2021
This second part of our research article related to the new Bullish price phase in Precious Metals and Miners will continue to explore the potential range and targets for higher price trends. In the first part of this article, I discussed how precious metals have started moving higher in somewhat of a stealth mode – not really drawing a lot of attention from traders. While other commodities and market sectors continue to rally, Gold and Silver have recently been setting up a new...
April 20, 2021
Almost in stealth mode, precious metals have begun to bottom and start a new upside price trend while the US stock market focused on the FOMC meeting a few weeks back and current economic data. Gold, Silver, and many of the Miner ETFs recently started a moderately strong push higher – almost completely behind the scenes of the hype in the markets regarding IPOs and Bitcoin’s new recent highs. All the Gold traders know that when Gold starts a new leg higher, it could mean infla...
April 16, 2021
As we start moving into the Q1:2021 earnings season, we need to be aware of the risks associated with the volatility often associated with earnings data and unknowns. Nonetheless, there are other factors that appear to be present in current trends which suggest earnings may prompt a moderately strong upside breakout rally – again. One key factor is that the US markets are already starting to price in forwarding expectations related to a reflation economy – a post-COVID acceler...