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US Stocks Climb A "Wall Of Worry" To New Highs :: The Market Oracle ::

Low volume rallies have become a standard of trending recently.  We see higher volume when volatility kicks in near areas of broad market volatility.  Otherwise, we see lower volume trending push the prices higher recently in a “melt-up” type of mode. Two recent standout events confirm this type of trending and volatility phases of the markets: (1) the September 2020 to early November 2020 (pre-US Election) rotation in price; and (2) the recent February 2021 to late March 2021...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts New Highs Stock Markets

The SPY Is Nearing Resistance @ $410… What Is Next? :: The Market Oracle ::

My shorter-term analysis for the markets continues to stay Bullish and suggests the US reflation trade, the strengthening of the US and the global economy, and recovery from the COVID-19 restrictions will likely prompt a moderately strong upside price trend leading into at least mid Q2:2021.  The recent strength of the US Dollar is helping to push capital into the US markets as foreign investors attempt to shift capital away from Emerging Market and currency weakness and the Treasu...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts Nearing Resistance

The Current Cannabis Sector Rally Is Pointing To Another Breakout :: The Market Oracle ::

My research team and I continue to believe the Cannabis/Alternative sector is poised for a big trend in 2021 and 2022.  Over the past few years, this sector has continued to trend lower after the hype of 2016~2018 – back when everyone was getting into the Cannabis industry as multiple US states authorized recreational and medical use.  After the 2018 peak, followed by the early 2019 moderate price recovery, this entire industry sector fell out of favor with investors for almost ...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts Alternative Harvest

Stronger US Dollar Reacts To Global Market Concerns – Which ETFs Will Benefit? Part II :: The Market Oracle ::

In this second part of our exploration of the recent US Dollar rally and what it may be reacting to in relation to the current US stock market highs and continued rally, we will explore some of the underlying factors that are translating into US Dollar strength while the US stock market continues to push higher. In the first part of this research article, we highlighted the US Dollar reaction to the 2008-09 credit market crisis and how the US Dollar actually started to bottom/rally in...
United States Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Aerospace Defense Credit Suisse Consumer Services

Which ETFs Will Benefit As A Stronger US Dollar Reacts To Global Market Concerns :: The Market Oracle ::

The recent news of Hedge Fund and other institutional crisis events has opened many eyes as investors and traders realize the post-2008-09 global market credit bubble has extended well beyond what many people may realize.  Recent news that China offered a “deferment” for Chinese corporations and state-run enterprises content with shadow banking credit/debt issues at a time when China is tightening monetary policy shows that a process, like the 2008 Lehman incident, may be setti...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Hedge Fund Credit Suisse Archegos Fund Cardiff Energy Corp

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Precious Metals Mining Stocks Setting Up For A Breakout Rally – Wait For Confirmation :: The Market Oracle ::

Precious Metals have continued to slide sideways as the US stock markets have rallied into the FOMC meeting last week.  Not by coincidence, metals have continued to base/bottom near recent lows as concerns about the global debt/credit markets, central banks, and precious metal supplies continue to linger.  The US Fed indicated it will do whatever is necessary to support the recovering economy.  The question my research team asks in relation to the basis for a move in metals/min...
Western Australia Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts

How To Spot Market Boom and Bust Cycles :: The Market Oracle ::

One of the most important aspects of trading is being able to properly identify major market cycles and trends. The markets will typically move between four separate stages: Bottoming/Basing, Rallying, Topping/Distribution, and Bearish Trending.  Each of these phases of market trends is often associated with various degrees of market segment trending as well.  For example, one of the most telling phrases of when the stock market is nearing an eventual Topping/Distribution phase is...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Us Congress Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts

Gold Predictive Modeling Suggests A New Rally Targeting $2300+, But When Will it Start? :: The Market Oracle ::

One of our readers’ favorite tools is the Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system.  This tool maps out technical and price patterns into an array of similar setups using historical data, then applies that data to current and future price bars.  Using the ADL predictive Modeling tool, we can see into the future based on historical technical analysis that maps statistically relevant price activity and shows us the highest probability outcomes.  Monthly ADL Gold...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts Predictive Modeling Suggests

US Treasury Yields Rally May Trigger Stock Market Crazy Ivan Event :: The Market Oracle ::

In the first part of this research series, published yesterday, we explored the rising Yields and how my team and I expect markets to react to the new level of fear that may begin to enter the global credit markets.  Rising Yields suggest investors believe the future risks to the global economy don’t support lower Yield rates.  The talk that investors expect a super-heated global economy may have some truth to it, but we feel the rise in Yields is related more to global credit...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts Stock Market

What's Next Move For Silver, Gold? Follow US Treasuries and Commodities To Find Out :: The Market Oracle ::

Gold continues to wallow near its recent low price level, near $1765.  Silver has continued to trend moderately higher – but still has not broken out to the upside.  Many analysts have continued to estimate when and how metals will begin the next wave higher.  My research team and I believe we’ve found some answers to these questions and want to share our research. Silver Explodes In Late-Stage Excess Rallies The first thing we want to highlight is that Silver tends to rally ...
Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd Cardiff Energy Corp Nadeem Walayat Trend Forecasts Next Move For Silver

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