Turnout Modelling News Today

Are different than some of the national public polls, that look at turnout scores and turnout modelling. but thats based on past voter propensity. you talk these estimates into account and look at the different range of turnout scenarios to see what the range of outcomes will look like. but -- and then we have now early voting which in some states is starting to look democratic, and some states its actually a little more republican. is that a signer where things end up? or is that just election ...

And we can take them at their word. we can use other information. there is certainly internal polls and campaign polls that are different than some of the national public polls, that look at turnout scores and turnout modelling. but thats based on past voter propensity. you talk these estimates into account and look at the different range of turnout scenarios to see what the range of outcomes will look like. but -- and then we have now early voting which in some states is starting to look democr...

The obama number sticks right at 48. >> could the president slip down to the 44s rather than 48? is he that close to trouble? >> we havent seen that sign yet. the president has, at the national level and the state level, and the state numbers are just trying to take on some relevance. its wet cement but -- the national numbers have not been 44, 42, 43 for the president in a long while, not since august. but heres what we think about florida, ohio and virginia. republicans and the republican bran...