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May 19, 2024
What is the news flow regarding the agrochemical sector today? Probably the following: China is dumping, there is over capacity in many segments, over inventory issues are plaguing the industry globally, erratic weather conditions in different parts of the world. One would feel agro chemical stocks are better avoided now. But in markets, when the news flow is bad, stock prices are probably good. Also, in the case of the agro chemicals sector, its mostly short term issues. So, it is time to keep...
May 18, 2024
After the recent phase of the volatility, there has been a bounce back in Nifty and sensex. Along with them there has also been an improvement in the market breadth as more number of stocks were able to inch upward. But this is not enough to say the volatile phase is over. At this point of time, one cannot rule out more profit booking ahead of election results. If one is taking fresh exposure to equity, ensure that there is some level of quality as far as the business and fundamentals are conc...
May 18, 2024
Even the best of the rational brain can make wrong decisions when there is too much noise which gets created due to a narrative. Now for the last few days a narrative has been created that due to polls, FPI are selling. These kinds of narratives tend to hit the sector and stocks which are sitting with big gains and are dependent on government policy push. Railways was among the last sectors to get re-rated due to the policy focus. Whether it was companies which are financing the expansion of rai...
May 18, 2024
In its lifetime every midcap company sees some headwinds. There are many examples from history which show the difference between the companies which have been able to survive and grow even after all the trouble is that of the parent company. A company belonging to a strong industrial group which has a track record of handling many economic cycles in the past has a higher probability of surviving a bad phase and coming back on a growth path as compared to a company in the same line of business wh...
May 17, 2024
One of the best and probably also the worst part of the presentation of return performance of any stocks or for that matter any asset class is a small change in the date for the calculation and one can show whether the glass is half full or half empty. Probably this is happening with the financial service stocks. In the recent past a number of times they have been shown as under performers. But what is being omitted is the fact that over the long term these are stocks which have delivered very g...
May 17, 2024
Sometimes, what might appear to be negative development might actually be a sign that the worst is behind the sector. Fertilizer as a sector, both in the business and valuation side has been under performer. The fact is that in the last nine, the government has been making changes in policies which brings this sector out of the clutches of high government subsidy and other age old issues plaguing the sector. Now unlike other sectors like railways where putting more money or making few policy cha...
May 16, 2024
The way mid-cap stocks have performed in the last one week. The biggest question would be whether this is another short term profit booking move or a beginning of a long phase correction and valuation adjustment. The answer would depend on one thing, election results. The policy continuity will lead to continued re-rating of the mid-cap segment as operationally the working of mid-cap companies have seen maximum improvement in terms of cost of capital which is the biggest factor for a mid cap c...
May 16, 2024
Whether one accepts it or not, when someone uses the word large cap, first names which would come to mind would be nifty stocks. Because somehow the word large cap has become synonymous with nifty stocks. But the fact is that the world of large caps is much bigger and there are stocks which have been able to show strong out performance in troubled times of volatility, we take a look at them. When it comes to long term investing in the same industry, some players are able to show better performan...
May 16, 2024
When it comes to PSU banks, all the limelight is taken by the top players, like SBI, BoB, PNB and one or two others. But the fact is that there are many other small PSU banks, which of course have smaller books and less of national presence, but the fact is that they have been also the beneficiary of the “ reconstruction and restructuring" (R&R) which both government and RBI have done in the banking sector in the last seven years. The good part of any R&R exercise in banking ...
May 7, 2024
To some the news of the possible changes in project finance by banks and other sectoral lenders might appear to have come out of the blue. But the fact is that RBI has been in a process of tightening and cleaning up the system of every segment and subsegment of banking and financial services for more than the last one and a half years. Infact the first set of companies where the tightening of the norms was implemented were housing finance companies. Right from raising capital to disbursement no...