Voter Models News Today

The 11th Hour with Stephanie Ruhle starts right now. Tonight, six weeks after out from Election Day and the polling shows the race is close as Democrats Trolled Trump over a senate debate. Fears of a wider War Grow in lebanon. We will have the latest from Richard Engel as the 11th Hour gets underway on this monday night. Good evening once again, im symone Sanders Talton in for Stephanie Ruhle. Folks plenty of people are already casting their votes. Early in Person Voting is on the way. A new Pol...

Troll Donald Trump over a second debate. With the Bombshell Reporting about Mark Robinson means for North Carolina in republicans in the national ticket. Israel expands strikes in lebanon as fears of a wider War Grow. The 11th hour gets underway on this monday night. Good evening once again. I am symone sanders townsend. We are 43 days away from we Election Day, but plenty of people are already casting their votes. Early inperson voting is underway in minnesota, south dakota, and virginia and se...

per lined, the dni confirms its looking into the risks to our national security. also tonight, lindsey graham and the politics of violence. he says if trump is indicted, republicans will riot in the streets. quite a contrast to pivotal moments in history when nonviolence prevailed. plus, the mid terms and why after roe no one with any sense is still talking about a red wave, and as kids head back to school, how to navigate the sometimes confusing guidance out there about covid and ot...

mary peltola who takes her seat in congress tomorrow, joins me tonight. >> we begin on the 60th anniversary of john f. kennedys historic moonshot speech announcing his goal of putting a man on the moon and bringing him home. today, president joe biden announced new steps in his own moonshot vision, ending cancer as we know it, a cause hes truly passionate about since the passing of his son beau. >> we face another inflection point, and together, we can choose to move forward with unity...

I think had it not been for donald trump, ted cruz very likely would have been the republican nominee. thats where the ground game very much still does matter. elizabeth warren actually had a very formidable ground game in the early states. thats why the trump campaign is internally somewhat concerned about her prospects and just to the point you made about the rust belt and this tension in the democratic party, donald trump won those states by maybe 20,000 to 22,000 votes. the margins are reall...

Changed the narrative around the race. i think had it not been for donald trump, ted cruz very likely would have been the republican nominee. thats where the ground game very much still does matter. elizabeth warren actually had a very formidable ground game in the early states. thats why the trump campaign is internally somewhat concerned about her prospects and just to the point you made about the rust belt and this tension in the democratic party, donald trump won those states by maybe 20,000...

And other folks that may make a big difference in three or four of those house races. >> real quickly on beto, hes at 47. thats his top. he spent 80 million bucks for two or three points. its crazy. >> if the voter models are correct, and i never have any idea -- >> but it could win three or four house seats for the democrats in d.texas. >> beto has all the money and enthusiasm in the world, but when you read the stories about his campaign, they dont have an internal polling director. why? they ...

People to call real people. they dont use a robot to call your house so they dont actually who is picking up the phone, theres some public poll that is dont even use likely voter models, theyll use the census as turnout model which has no correlation to what who will actually turn out. heather: if i answer the phone and theres a poll and a robot comes on i immediately hang up. >> you hang up, we have a harder time getting responses, even more if im calling heathers house, i could be getting your...

2012 campaign. hes the democratic strategist. here in new york with me, noelle nikpour, author of "branding america" along with patrick murray. patrick, ill start with you. we have all the polling numbers out there. im just curious what youre seeing in your own numbers. how big has the change and the energy balance been between the two parties, and how much staying party does that have with three weeks to go? >> we saw a summer where democrats were normally energized. a lot of what weve seen ove...

Purchase this data from and frankly do. this is how we build out voter models talked about coming out of the last two elections. there are two type of groups making an issue out of it. the democrat partisans, and the second is states rights republicans like you hear in mississippi that are -- >> feisty about this. >> they can jump in the lake. >> go to the gulf of mexico. >> i dont think it would matter who is asking in his mind. but we can already get the information. and the social security is...