showed that mail-in voting plunged by 81% of the level of the 2020 election. how much is the state s new voting law a factor in that? voting is very political here in georgia, so that kind of depends who you ask. it is very true that laws about absentee voting were changed and the window to apply was shortened in the general. you can no longer do it completely online, which was a pandemic era portal. but public officials take issue with that and say it was the pandemic. we pushed everyone to absentee vote during the pandemic, but the pandemic is still going but it s not affecting our voting patterns as much anymore. so republicans are returning, georgia voters argue to their previous patterns. because of the new restrictions, they seem to have shifted their strategy to push more early
voters willing to cross the line. steve harrigan is live in atlanta today. runoff elections. drive out the base and get people to go to the ballot box 1 more time. that s not happening in georgia this time around due to an unusual series of voting patterns. we re seeing a lot of split tickets in georgia. it means people voted for brian kemp to be governor, the republican but did not vote for herschel walker, the republican candidate for senate. the gap was so big more than 200,000 votes that kemp won easily while herschel walker is locked in a runoff with democratic senator warnock. kemp is now preparing to go back on the campaign trail to try to convince his supporters to back walker for senator. here is kemp. we need herschel to win. we need to get that seat back. bring some sanity in washington, d.c. and i think voters will have to ask the question that i ask myself, do you want to vote for somebody that s voted with joe
anticipated here, especially by republican nominee blake masters for u.s. senate and the reason why is because blake masters campaign believes that in this bach can potentially be their path and still refreshing my screen here because we re anticipating that nithese numbe should be coming out at any moment. why do they believe these numbers could be so critical for them? because what this bach is more than half, the majority of these ballots will be those mail in ballots that were dropped off on election day. the anticipation from the masters campaign, as well as from republican nominee for governor kari lake is that these will be in their favor. these are republican votes. voting patterns have changed significantly here in the state of arizona from 2018 to 2020 because of the influence of donald trump as well as the pandemic. so it s very difficult to know if indeed there is going to be
senate. but they have senate control, ensured. if they win both nevada and arizona. i think when you look at these two right now, they re definitely feeling more confident democrats are and what s happening in arizona. that s a lot for masters to overcome. this is a lot for cortez masto.com, but there s a path for her to do it here. but if he does, it will be very close. steve kornacki, thank you very much for delivering those latest numbers. we really appreciate it. and we re joined now by someone who has been studying those numbers as closely as steve kornacki gary peters in michigan. he s the chair of the democratic senate tory campaign committee. senator, you spent the last two years working to get to this moment. you have been studying those voting patterns for two years. has there been any surprises in what steve kornacki just reported to you tonight ? no, thank you for having me on. we always knew that these would be very, very close races.
195. 195. let me bring these three races in. here is three more. we view these races. our decision team has looked closely that democrats are likely to one. one here in new mexico, one in colorado. and there is one here in maryland. i want to note the republican is currently leading in this race in maryland. but there are outstanding votes in montgomery county just outside of washington, d.c. it s overwhelmingly democratic. that s where the outstanding votes are. the republicans lead is narrow. so it is quite likely in our view based on voting patterns that the democrat will win there. there is one, there is two, there is three. where does that get you? that will get you in this scenario, and it s a scenario, to 198, right? leave that there. let s take the next step. let s look at some more races here. here is 14 more races where democrats are ahead. in some of these, democratic victory is guaranteed. california has a jungle primary. in several of the races it s a democrat versus a de