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Opinion: Identifying recessions is more art than science

From Bloomberg Opinion: 'Recessions come in a dizzying assortment of shapes, sizes and guises,' Stephen Mihm writes. 'Some are dubbed panics, others depressions. History shows that no two recessions have the same causes or effects. So it makes sense that experts can't identify recessions the way doctors diagnose cancer.'
United States Christina Romer Clement Juglar David Romer Arthur Hall Arthur Burns

How a radical interpretation of the Great Depression became the orthodoxy behind solving the COVID economic crisis

At the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, US Federal Reserve System governor Jerome Powell made an extraordinary declaration: “We’re not going to run out of ammunition.” The central bank stood ready to take any action necessary to stem the mounting economic crisis. Three months later, the Fed injected nearly US$3 trillion dollars of liquidity into the US economy. Such radical action by central banks – quantitative easing (QE) – has its critics on the right and left. Just a...
United States University Of Chicago Hyman Minsky Jerome Powell Anna Schwartz John Maynard Keynes

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