Test since im the use of became the leader in the first minister. And he says that his foot will be challenging for his party and will it mean for his leadership and the independence movement. Humza yousaf. The result could have a seismic impact on the party across the uk and a not so humble break or is it overconfidence. We will find out soon. Lets forget the Scottish Conservatives because other parties not expected to win this year, the big question is with its core vote holed up and this is a scottish by election with the general election woman, westminster will be all over it. Helping me to assess how tonight my play across scotland and is to the uk, the countries top pulling Expertjohn Curtis and leslie, Tony Blair Plus plus former adviser and spectators lucy done. And know by election would be complete without politicians and tonight, we have the Scottish National party keith brown, Jackie Bayley and the Conservative Party. Welcome to you all. First, the account is been taking place in hamilton and let us go there now and speak to a Political Correspondent and david, what are you hearing this evening. find and david, what are you hearing this evenina. �. ,. � ,. , evening. And the council, its about which parties evening. And the council, its about which parties are evening. And the council, its about which parties are going evening. And the council, its about which parties are going to evening. And the council, its about which parties are going to win evening. And the council, its about which parties are going to win this | which parties are going to win this by election that seems to be acceptance year in labour have managed to get over the line and on top now, its about the scale of labour� s victory. When parties system stormy and slick and comfortable, talking about majorities in the seven or 8 range potentially if things go very well into the double figures. For context, when labour lasted this seat underJeremy Corbyn, they wanted very narrowly at 0. 5 of the vote and it should be aware that historically, liberties to win this seat very comfortably. There is saying this is a very uphill battle for them and that the backdrop to this by election being that there former mp Margaret Ferrier lost after taking a train journey from london to glasgow back in 2020 after testing positive for covid 19 and the Police Investigation into the party finances is still ongoing in all of the combined made this a difficult challenge for them. M50 difficult challenge for them. Also talked about difficult challenge for them. Also talked about the difficult challenge for them. Also talked about the Scottish Conservatives who in recent years have done sometimes pretty well and not necessarily going to win it but theres talk that he could be losing their deposit and getting less than 5 of the vote which should get a result at 1 30am and by that point, we should know who the next mp is both highly unlikely that its going to be michael from Scottish Labour and the thing to look at various witnesses mean mean for a general election. How does that translate into others, carbon seats, that is going to look out for tonight. Will come back to david and the account regularly but even that is spent so much to talk about them or both of Political Panel and the pundits and john curtis, let us turn to her positions have been furiously on their phones since they walked into their phones since they walked into the studio. I have to say, you came in with a broad grin on your face. The studio. I have to say, you came in with a broad grin on yourface. I in with a broad grin on your face. I always am a happy person by instinct and i am an optimist. But i think what is being suggested as it does look like a labour victory but until we know that for certain, im not going to prejudge the event that we have fought extremely hard for long period of time and speaking to 30,000 people and weve not on 80,000 doors in mentor toured around 80,000 doors in mentor toured around 80,000 doors in mentor toured around 80,000 doors there and we have knocked on them two or three times and people are now quite sick of seeing politicians on their doorstep however, i would say that people responded really warmly to a message of change because to be frank with you, on the ground and brother rutherglen, and power in the tories for 13 years and people in the constituency are very disappointed and disillusioned and they voted for change tonight. You been livin they voted for change tonight. You been living there since july and the been living there sincejuly and the grass needs could harm your stuff to do this is all overcome which are not of expected a better turnout in the Single Digits especially whats happened in the constituency in the Scottish National party . The Margaret Ferrier majority was over 5000 and rutherglen in Hamilton West, we need to see whats going on here and humza yousaf lead from the front. , , ,. , front. Your site highly visible and clearl , front. Your site highly visible and clearly. The front. Your site highly visible and clearly, the result front. Your site highly visible and clearly, the result for front. Your site highly visible and clearly, the result for him front. Your site highly visible and clearly, the result for him and. Front. Your site highly visible and clearly, the result for him and i l front. Your site highly visible and i clearly, the result for him and i am taking nothing for granted and mood swings to the results of the discussion. Swings to the results of the discussion. Keith brown, by contrast. Discussion. Keith brown, by contrast, youre discussion. Keith brown, by contrast, youre pushing discussion. Keith brown, by. Contrast, youre pushing your discussion. Keith brown, by contrast, youre pushing your staff forward for this campaign and delivering leaflets. Did you give up on this early . fin delivering leaflets. Did you give up on this early . On this early . On 12 occasions, a da ob on this early . On 12 occasions, a day job in on this early . On 12 occasions, a day job in the on this early . On 12 occasions, a day job in the scottish on this early . On 12 occasions, a | day job in the Scottish Parliament dayjob in the Scottish Parliament but mentioning the fact that we had a challenging set of circumstances and both a challenging set of circumstances and both in the circumstances the by election and both in the circumstances the by election and the circumstances in which election and the circumstances in which the election and the circumstances in which the Party Leadership contest and so which the Party Leadership contest and so on. Which the Party Leadership contest and so on, it is quite clear they were and so on, it is quite clear they were doing and so on, it is quite clear they were doing that we prop up the proper were doing that we prop up the proper prolabor candidates and make sure that proper prolabor candidates and make sure that all comes across in the tory sure that all comes across in the tory vote sure that all comes across in the tory vote more or less collapsed and the Labour Tory Vote more or less collapsed and the labour party and indistinguishable policies and keir starmeh indistinguishable policies and keir starmeh | indistinguishable policies and keir starmer. , �. ,. , starmer. I dont mean to interrupt. Let me come starmer. I dont mean to interrupt. Let me come to starmer. I dont mean to interrupt. Let me come to you starmer. I dont mean to interrupt. Let me come to you when starmer. I dont mean to interrupt. Let me come to you when he starmer. I dont mean to interrupt. L let me come to you when he finishes his point. Let me come to you when he finishes his oint. ,. , let me come to you when he finishes his oint. ,. ,. , his point. Keir starmer does not feature in his point. Keir starmer does not feature in any his point. Keir starmer does not feature in any of his point. Keir starmer does not feature in any of the his point. Keir starmer does not feature in any of the leaflets his point. Keir starmer does not| feature in any of the leaflets but says labour had been following for two years says labour had been following for two years the same as the tories, the merging of labourand two years the same as the tories, the merging of labour and tory is a background to this but it was labour seat in background to this but it was labour seat in the background to this but it was labour seat in the last election and going back to seat in the last election and going back to labour tonight and i dont think back to labour tonight and i dont think people will be too surprised by that think people will be too surprised b that. ,. ,. , by that. This is going to be a bad niuht if by that. This is going to be a bad night if they by that. This is going to be a bad night if they do by that. This is going to be a bad night if they do this, by that. This is going to be a bad night if they do this, isnt by that. This is going to be a bad night if they do this, isnt it . Night if they do this, isnt it . Less demos in a panel like this, murphy less demos in a panel like this, murphy was telling us how easy it was to murphy was telling us how easy it was to beat the snp and we watched labour was to beat the snp and we watched labour seat of the Labour Seat Go and they labour seat of the Labour Seat Go and they will have more and i think we should and they will have more and i think we should keep that in perspective and one we should keep that in perspective and one Crucial Point in terms of the general polling, the snp is 11 points the general polling, the snp is 11 points ahead of the labour party in terms points ahead of the labour party in terms of points ahead of the labour party in terms Of Westminster and i think that is terms Of Westminster and i think that is the terms Of Westminster and i think that is the contest and difficult by election that is the contest and difficult by election. We that is the contest and difficult by election. ~ ,. , that is the contest and difficult by election. ~ ,. ,. ,. , election. We shall see what part and jackie, election. We shall see what part and jackie. Quickly election. We shall see what part and jackie. Quickly step election. We shall see what part and jackie, quickly stop you election. We shall see what part and jackie, quickly stop you like think. Jackie, quickly stop you like think it is insulting the voters that somehow it is tory vote and i was on the porches and i was meeting Ijust Snp Voters but snp members who cannot bring themselves to vote for the snp were making the switch to labour. Please, do not insult the voters by simply saying it was all tory. Its not right neck where they going to screen our vote would be squeezed and this was a labour seat with a labour vote. Thea;r squeezed and this was a labour seat with a labour vote. With a labour vote. They won under Jeremy Corbyn with a labour vote. 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