Lottery, which begins right now. Today on inside politics, ohio says no. Voters reject a measure that would have made it easier for republicans trying to make it harder for women to get an abortion. Plus, do republicans solemnly swear to report who are whoever is the nominee. The Loyalty Pledge in order to make the first debate stage. And biden test drives a traffic and weather approach to win over voters. He defends his lclimate credentials in a new interview, but dances around a big unfulfilled promise. Im dana bash. Lets go behind the headlines and inside politics. Up first, a hard lesson for republicans in ohio and nationwide on the issue of abortion, again. Thats a hard no. Thats the headline in this mornings paper that follows a clear voter verdict. 57 of ohio voters rejected a ballot measure, issue one. Its technically about the rules to rewrite the constitution, but voters viewed it as a test of Abortion Rights and what states should be allow ed to tell wome to do. Jeff celmy is live in ohio. Jeff, what exactly happened with this vote . Reporter it was a test of Abortion Rights, but also a test of democracy. And talking to voters here yesterday as they cast their ballots throughout the last month of this campaign, both were at play. Abortion was not mentioned as part of issue one, which was the only thing on the ballot, but it was the driving force. There was also a resounding feeling that Republican Leaders in the legislature were trying to full pull a fast one by scheduling this election in august at a time when some families are on vacation, others are not really paying attention. Voters were paying attention yesterday. This was also talking to voters about far more than politics. The story of the 10yearold who was raped and had to leave ohio to seek Abortion Access was front and center in this as well. This is central to what people have been living through in the wake of the Supreme Court overturning roe v. Wade. If you build all that up over the last year, thats what voters were responding to yesterday as well as simply trying to change the rules to make it more difficult to amend the constitution on other matters like minimum wage, which is expected to be coming next year. When you look at these counties across the state, some trump counties that he did very well and outperformed biden, just three years ago, the vote no side did very well yesterday. Thats because the coalition that was built of democrats, independents and republicans to vote against this, but coming up is an entirely new election. This starts now the campaign for the November Ballot about Abortion Rights access. So its undleer if clear if that will hold or if it will be a different coalition, but theres no doubt voters here in ohio and across the country have sent a resounding message on Abortion Rights. They want it protected at least to some degree. Thank you for that reporting. Here to share their reporting is new miamalika henderson and krn holmes. Happy wednesday to you all. You heard jeff talk about the specific counties inside ohio where donald trump did well, and where this measure also did well, meaning pro trump, but also pro not changing the constitution to make it easier to defeath Abortion Rights ase. Lets look at some specifics. Delaware county, trump won by 7 in this county. Stark county, trump won 1. Trump won by 23. This is a difficult issue for republicans and trump himself knows that very well. We have seen an election after election whether it was michigan, wisconsin, kansas as well, the issue is personal for people. It rallies voters, this coalition of swing voters as well as some republican moderate voters as well. For years this really worked well for republicans as they claimed they wanted to overturn roe v. Wade. That has happened. They are like the dog that caught the bus. They dont know what to do with this new dynamic. Its worked well for democrats. Lets look at a little bit what voters in ohio saw on the air waves. Voting to protect ohio, pushing radical political agendas. Some of those changes they are posing take away paren call rights, the ability to be informed and to make decisions for their children. So thats the vote yes. Again, its a bit complicated because they were voting on something that was technically procedural. It was about whether to change the constitution, but in an ad like this is and others, the abortion Rights Groups really got in there and made it very much about abortion. Because it was. Absolutely. Theres a symmetry to all of this as well. Its been 15 months since the Dobbs Decision was leaked. Republicans have another 15 months to figure out this messaging before the November 2024 election. As of right now, they just cant do it. You saw the pro life groups messaging on television. Democrats welcome that fight. They spent upwards of hundreds of millions of dollars. It did sway the results. As were thinking about this, im thinking about the candidate you spend the most time with. That is donald trump and how reluctant he is to fall in line with the other republican candidates, the republican outside groups like the susan b. Anthony group. Let me read something from their statement. They wrote after this result, so long as republicans and their supporters take the Ostrich Strategy and bury their heads in the sand, they will lose again and again. The point they are making is that republicans lose electorally on the issue of abortion because they run away from it. The position that donald trump takes is, no we lose on abortion because of abortion. Exactly. I think that is very interesting when youre talking about a republican primary. We have talked about this. One of the things ron desantis has tried to do is run to the right. The Trump Campaign is like, go for it. That sounds something thats going to kill you. That is something that donald trump believes. Hes the architect of the Dobbs Decision. The fact that he appointed these three justices, but you never hear him taking credit for it. Even yesterday, when he talks about abortion, he makes clear that he believes in exceptions and he says that over and over again. And he will not answer questions on a national ban. He has told people he thinks thz a losing issue. He doesnt want to campaign on it. The further hes gone is theres a vital role for the federal government. Its not likely he will go much further than that. The results out of ohio, the other states that we talked about, just show what a difficult issue it is. This is a personal issue for people. For women, for men and this horrible story of a 10yearold girl who was rape d and you hav to go to indiana, voters in ohio heard that. People talk about this with their families, with their lives, with their daughters, with their sons. Its just something that people experience, so the idea that politicians should decide such a personal issue, i think, it really is difficult for voters to swallow. Its an issue of freedom for so many voters. For trump its a reminder that its a transactional relationship he has with them. He doesnt have to tout that this has happened. He can say, hey, you signed up for four years or eight years with me. Heres what i delivered for you. Supreme court justices. You want to sign up for another four years . It goes back to this relationship that he has with the gop base. Such an interesting point. You ntned a couple times what we saw in states like kansas and michigan in the last election cycle. It really was striking to us that the numbers, you see 59 . 57 protecting. And then you have yesterday informs that ballpark. Its almost spooky. Also a reminder of why the republicans in ohio wanted to change the constitutional threshold to 60 . They are very well aware of those numbers. But the consistency on this topic is really stunning. Especially the timeline. The fact that were moving furd and further away from the decision and youre still seeing numbers like this. That bodes well for democrats. Abortion has motivated republicans for decades. Its driven people out. Its part of how donald trump sold himself. This appointing Supreme Court justices that will overturn roe v. Wade. That was a big argument he made. It has driven people to the polls. Even people who didnt like donald trump, the idea that this could happen. Democrats have not had this same momentum behind abortion. Now it appears that this is at least an enthusiastic issue for these democrats. It certainly happened in 2022 and yesterdays vote in ohio suggests it has not gone away. Were two weeks away from the first president ial debate, and only one candidate has formal ly qualified to be on th stage. Who made the cut . Well tell you after the break. Ooooh, let me put a reminder on my phone. 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I spoke to a gop source earlier, who told me that only one candidate has signed the pledge. They expect more to come in today and tomorrow. But so far at this moment in time, the entrepreneur is the only candidate who formally makes the debate stage because the requirements are not just this pledge, but a polling and a donor requirement. Our reporters are baith us. Two weeks until this debate. I just want to put up on the screen those who have met the requirements when it comes to donors and polli. Obviously,onald trump and you have ron desantis. Nikki haley, tim scott, doug burr burr gam and mike pence. Im look ing at this list. The Open Question is Chris Christie. Will he sign it . Donald trump, the bigger question is whether he will go to the debate. Well talk about that in a second. Is this pledge much of an issue for those who are even in the running . Theyll sign it. Whether or not they adhere to it, part of the pledge that you didnt read that is probably most important is this idea they wont run a third party. And thats most important for donald trump, even though he looks like hes far and away the favorite at this time to win the nomination, which is i why he probably wont be at the debate. You dont really need to go to the debate if youre so far ahead. So we might have a situation where its sort of kid day table. Ron desantis and christie, throw some hay makers his way. Its going to be like the kiddy table and throwing fish sticks at each other. Youre speaking like a mom right now. Somebody with great experience of what you speak. Yes, that is true. And this whole notion of a pledge is relatively new. Its because of donald trump. I was at trump power back in 2015 watching the Rnc Chair Run in with a piece of paper to get donald trump to sign the pledge because they were worried that he was going to run a third party if he didnt get the nomination. None of that happened because he became the nominee. So you do have people who are saying, come on, whats the point of this. It doesnt make a lot of sense. Ill sign it, but its irrelevant. One of the key reasons, which is the question of whether or not donald trump will even get on the debate stage, remember back in 2016, he did go to the first couple of debates. This is a headline that our team found of january 2016. Trump says he wont participate in gop debate on fox news. That is an old headline, but it could potentially be the headline that were going to see in the next week or so. What are you hearing . So my sources are telling me that if it was right now, he likely wouldnt attend. That doesnt mean its a done deal, and no adviser will put that on the record until its the day of because he could just decide last minute he wants to post on truth social he will do the debate. So that is where he is right now, but you can tell hes been working through the various scenarios. He did it in front of the crowd in New Hampshire. He asked the crowd, do you think i should participate in the debate. Now its interesting to me what they say trump heard and what i heard. I heard them booing and saying no. Apparently trump heard them saying, yes, and clapping, which we were at different places in the auditorium. Because you mention that, we have that. But i want you to listen to Chris Christie doing what he has done since he got into this race, trying to egg on donald trump to encourage him to get on the debate stage. Listen to both. Its a privilege to be on that stage and have the opportunity to run for president of the united states. To make our case to you directly why we deserve your vote. Lets see if he respects you and shows up on the 23rd. Ill guarantee you one thing. If hes there, he will know im there too. They are all say ing is he going to go to the debate. I dont know. If youre leading by 70 points, do you do that or not . Should i . You ready . Poll, we take a free poll. Should i do the debate . Its hard to tell. Trump is caught between a rock and hard place. Thats his ego versus pragmatism. Its a bar fight where everyone aims their fire at him. The other hand, were talking about donald trump, who loves attention, doesnt want to miss a moment to siege the stage to anyone else. From what i understand, hes about 99 sure at this point he wont participate, despite the lobbying from rnc officials. But we know he loves the attention. Well see. 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