Of scandal with jake tapper next sunday at nine on cnn. This is gps, the Global Public square, come to all of you in the United States and Around The World im Fareed Zakaria coming to you from new york today on the Program PresidentBiden A State Of The Union and americas role in the world i talked to Susan Glasser and ian bremmer, but ukraine the middle east then much more also cnns jim sciutto on how close russia may have come to using Nuclear Weapons in ukraine. And how a new Global Nuclear arms race is upon us then allbirds, noah feldman, on what it means to be issue in this time of ever rising antisemitism but first, heres my take as weve watched the horrors of another war in the middle east, its easy to get gloomy and depress. It seems that the region continues to be violent and unstable, but that mrs. An important shift that has taken place in recent time one that provides some cause for optimal msm about the future. The arab states that are now the middle east leaders are playing an important and constructive role in stabilizing the situation and working for peace this is a sea change from decades past the country that have for decades define the arab worlds agenda was egypt especially under its charismatic leader gamal abdel nasser. Analysis, Core Ideology was arab nationalism with a strong antiisraeli component. The other large arab states, syria and iraq. Were equally fiery in their condemnations of israel. They often embraced a policy of rejection izyum, which was opposed to any concessions toward israel saudi arabia, as the custodian of islams holiest sites joined in giving the struggle against his a religious tone 2002, for example, saudi king fog authorized a telethon to aid the relatives of palestinian socalled martyrs killed by israel, including those of terrorists. It raised 100 million today, iraq and syria are mired in dysfunction and the attitude of the other leading arab states could not be more different. First, there has been reshuffling of what countries are seen as the regions leaders while it used to be that the large arab countries were dominant because of history, size, armies, et cetera. Today it is the incredibly wealthy gulf states that set the agenda countries like egypt regularly depend on their rich gulf neighbors for bailouts and handouts second, there has been abroad shift of attitude against arab terrorism and towards some kind of reconciliation and recognition of israel. The gulf states are now so rich that it has redefined their orientation toward the world on a recent trip to the uae,bi, kuwait, i was struck by how these countries elites predominantly worry about war and instability. And im constantly looking for Economic Opportunities and they see israel as a potential economic partner saudi arabia in particular, has huge ambitions for Modernization Violence and terror can only append these plans. The shift in egypt is particularly important. President sisi came to power, Jailing Thousands of members of the muslim brother, an Islamist Group with affinities and eyes with hamas. Hes deeply hostile to hamas and all such militant movements and eager to partner with israel to crush them. The backdrop to egypt and the gulf arabs positions is there joined opposition to the rise of iran and its army of proxies from hezbollah to the who ties to hamas of course there are complexities and nuances. Qatar or has managed to play a role as an intermediary between israel and hamas because it is friendly relations with hamas and has also had long ties with israel, which will officially severed in 2009 after Israel Attacked gaza. Qatars Supportive Hamas has often been criticized, but the truth is, without a gobetween no cease or peace deals would be possible and the qatari government has, by all accounts been extremely constructive and responsible in helping broker negotiations arab governments are not the same as the arab people and Public Opinion in the arab world has turned sharply against israel and the United States and gets more critical by the day but even here, theres a Silver Lining as the Carnegie Endowment scholar, amr humza, we noted in november, Arab Attitudes since the war began have been far more moderate than in the past, condemning violence against civilians on both sides, rejecting terrorism and urging a twostate solution. He pointed out that this is part of a broader turn away from Political Violence with over 90 of arab surveyed in one poll in recent years, rejecting Extremist Organizations and condemning terrorism that backdrop might explain why, despite their vehement opposition to the scale and scope of israels military actions in gaza. No arab country has suspended its relations with israel even the denunciations have been somewhat muted and instead the focus has been on practical ways to help the palestinians such as cease fires, aid corridors, and postwar reconstruction. All on the path to a Palestinian State american officials who deal with them have told me that they find the leadership of these arab countries ego constructive and helpful in searching for solutions. The saudi led planned for a path to a twostate solution is according to these officials practical and workable . This sea change in what the composition of the leading arab states and the attitudes of the leaders will not solve the Israeli Palestinian issue. But it does suggest there is some support for peace, stability, and moderation in a region that desperately needs it go to cnn. Com slash fareed for link to my Washington Post column this week. And lets get started. It has been a big week for american politics. Donald trump all but clinch the republican nomination on Super Tuesday and all eyes were on president joe bidens state if the union where he gave a spirited defense of his administrations achievements, both at home and abroad. He faces big challenges on both fronts at home with an intransigent Republican Party and abroad with the war in ukraine and israels continued seizure in gaza joining me now to talk about all of this is Susan Glasser, a staff writer at the new yorker, and ian bremmer, the president and founder of the eurasia group, a global Risk Consultancy so in what do you think people will say weeks from now, months from now about that State Of The Union. I doubt theyll be talking about it because we have a very narrow timeframe on on our news these days but at least for the next few days, theyre going to talk a little bit less about joe bidens unfitness in age. And theyre going to talk a little bit more about the fact that that was a speech he needed to give. They havent seen him for an hour plus out there in front of an audience, engaging and then giving a speech. This could have gone badly for him in lots of ways, and he avoided those pitfalls in that regard. It was a very important speech. What im struck by susan is if you look at the polling, it does seem as though people approve of his policies more after the speech is that you think because a lot of the things joe biden is pushing are popular, like having corporations and billionaires pay more taxes, like reducing Child Poverty with credits and things like that. Why what do you think explains that . Thats a fairly sharp rise in polling in a country which has often seemed very evenly divided well, thats right. Many of the things that biden is talking about, if people actually listen, its getting them to listen is the hard part. Reproductive freedom is another big theme of the campaign. This year, youre going to hear it over and over again from democrats, from biden on down. And remember Something Like twothirds of americans, even many in very red states are against this green courts decision to eliminate roe versus wade. And that will be powering a lot of the turnout. The problem for aid is getting americans to Pay Attention to break through the noise and also for joe biden, i think he had to reassure his own Democratic Party base and people who might vote for him, that he was really up to waging the fight with donald trump, his bad poll numbers arent because republicans are against him. They already work in a vote for him. Its because he hasnt yet convinced his own electorate that hes really the guy to keep going for another term. Susan, when you think about that opening, what he did something very unusual and dramatic. He began hit the speech really with a very impassioned plea for aid to ukraine is there any chance that that changes the dynamic because this is a real world problem. Ukraine has really needs, it needs a lifeline and it doesnt have it is is anything going to change . Well, if read a couple observations, number one, you saw Speaker Mike Johnson throughout the evening, barely suppressing sort of his uncomfortableness with this speech. And hes been very noncommittal, including in an interview that he gave to reporters after the speech on friday morning hey, where he still refusing to even allow the matter of the 60 billion in additional Military Assistance and other assistance for ukraine that binds asks for hes still not agreeing to bring it to a vote, which is really tantamount to killing it in the sense that it would pass if it got to the floor. But for months now, remember biden set up this request back in the fall in october and first was asking for more aid as early as last august. So its been months and months have to play, which is tantamount to leading to direct setbacks and deaths on the battlefield in ukraine. 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Its all we do with local offices throughout the country and has helped you get the compensation you deserve, 800 to eight to 44, 44 and we are back with ian bremmer, the president and founder of the eurasia group, and Susan Glasser, a staff writer at the new yorker. Susan, tell me what you made of bidens both speech and policy on israel, gaza he announced something that sounded bold, setting up a port that would allow humanitarian assistance where when you look at the details that its going to take probably two months before this is setup. It didnt seem that much of a deviation from a policy that hes had for months now, which is essentially to support israel yeah, thats right. I mean, what youre seeing is distancing, but it remains a cautious kind of distancing. And i do think the announcement of the sort of Temporary Port and gaza its remarkable symbolic gesture nothing else in the sense that here you are with the us military having to circumvent a blockade of people to get humanitarian aid in a blockade thats being imposed by one of their own allies as opposed to an adversary. And i think it to me, its really symbolic of the moment in fitch, the United States has sort of hugged israel close, but what is it gotten for that . It doesnt have the leverage that i think many people thought it had over israels actions. In what do you think is going to happen is the israeli operation continues, they invade rafa where do you think this goes up . The hope for the administration has been that theyre going get a temporary ceasefire six weeks in return for some of the hostages being released. It is getting closer to not happening, at least before ramadan. And part of that is as biden came out publicly and said, very clearly, do not yet won the war cabinet. We really oppose you going on the ground and rafa with ground troops, hamas started engaging with a much tougher policy and saying, were only going to accept a permanent ceasefire and removal of all troops. So they feel like they were emboldened as biden is pushing not and you this really impossible position for biden to be in right now, the war, every day the war goes on, its worse for him domestically, what should he do . I think he does need to push, not yahoo much more strongly, but what weve seen is this is too little and too late. He should have been starting to talk seriously about were going to provide human mandatory aid on the ground with the israelis are without the israelis should have been months ago and he should have been pressuring not yahoo in the early days when he was being lied to when they said that they were going to actually change how they were attacking in two weeks that the war was going to be wrapping up in two weeks, they were getting that information every time they were talking to the israeli the government, and then they kept kicking the can down the road. So the israelis are acting with impunity here. I liked the fact that biden and Jake Sullivan and the rest invited benny gantz to talk to them directly . Not you told him not to go. Lets exactly the opposite of what netanyahu did to biden and obama when he came to talk to the republicans in 2015 because of the Iranian Nuclear deal why was, where was biden five months ago on this, he looks weak. It looks late. This the one place where the democrats, State Of The Union were holding up signs saying ceasefire now, so one place there were demonstrations outside of the capital that actually blocked some of the streets beforehand. This is a problem for him at home, not just on the international stage. Susan, you have great sources and great reporting always on the stuff. I sense that in the biden white house, they probably still believe and maybe theyre right that at the end of the day its, a difficult one, but politically netnet, youre better off backing israel. Youre, in other words, yeah, you may lose a certain number of people in michigan and you may lose, lose a certain number of people, but generally speaking, those we will often dont vote on Foreign Policy but if you would their shifts support from israel that would be me you know, Jewish Americans are overwhelmingly democratic. And if you break that, that piece of your coalition that we have big deal yeah i think youre right on the politics and the overall assessment of it, but i will say for you that i have heard really going back to the early weeks of this again and again from officials inside the white house in the state department, even in the pentagon, a sense that look, this policy well, lets see, is joe bidens policy personally that he has sort of set up the constraints under which were operating. You get the sense that if it wasnt biden in the chair, but it was someone else, they would have been more critical and more public with their criticism. Israel, earlier on that it was the president and himself who has determined this and that in a way netanyahu, being aware of that has played, biden has played the american government. Remember the political dynamic on israels end as well, which is now know who is incredibly unpopular. Right now. Theres a sense that many israelis want to hold him to account for this, but as long as the war goes on, theyre not going to do that. Netanyahu has a builtin incentive to continue this conflict. It isnt direct opposition in many ways to the political imperative of his supporter, joe biden here in the United States, who needs it to be over as soon as possible and on your