Mary tracks health products. You core is a lifes they tried today at your core. Com this is gps, the Global Public square. Welcome to all of you in the United States and around the world. Im Fareed Zakaria coming to you from new york on todays program, Bibi Netanyahu approves plans for an assault on rafah one of the most powerful democrats in washington says, israels Prime Minister must go ill ask The Middle EastScholarship Triply to homie to make sense of these developments also the clock maybe ticking on the future of tiktok in the United States the houses voted for legislation that could ban now it is up to the center to ban or not to ban. We will have that debate then. The ai nightmare Silicon Chips deciding whom to kill and whom just say if this isnt happening right now on the battlefield, it is likely to happen soon enough. I will ask an expert what we can expect and what we can do about the Ai Warfare Revolution but first, heres my take. In a recent interview with Russian State Tv, Vladimir Putins had something that was in his words, important for us ourselves, and even more so for our listeners and viewers abroad to understand our way of thinking the one ukraine he explained is for the western way of improving its tactical position visavis russia. But for us, it is our fate. It is a matter of life and death. He said the fundamental mistake in western strategy against russia has been to ignore this reality new Data Confirms that the russian economy has withstood western sanctions far better than most predicted is gdp grew at over 3 last year. And now inflation which reached around 18 in early 2022 seems to be studying at around 7. 5 . Russias largest bank stayed own sberbank recently announced that profits last year, fueled by a Mortgage Boom Surge more than five fold to their highest level levels moscow has survived western sanctions for a variety of reasons. These sanctions are not comprehensive. For example, they do not completely prohibit Russias Energy exports nor can they. The world is too dependent on these resources are total ban if enforceable would lead oil prices to skyrocket and trigger a global recession and as western companies fled russia, nonwestern ones simply replace them. Russians addicted to starbucks will find that those outlets have simply been taken over by stars coffee, a locally owned brand. Indian businessman, tell me that they were able to buy western companys assets in russia at fire sale prices, and now operate those businesses profitably there are lessons here the World Economy is interdependent enough that its hard to ban Something Like oil without imposing huge costs on every one nonwestern economies now make up a large enough part of the world that if they dont go along with sanctions those sanctions lose much of their bite but the largest lesson is surely that economic pressure alone rarely causes countries to capitulate over the decades, washington has placed ruin a sanctions on cuba, north korea, iran, venezuela, and now russia can one say in any of these cases that the regime reversed its policies . The russian economy has survived because putin has done whatever it takes. He has put his country on war footing, rallying its citizens with patriotic rhetoric that often works when people feel besieged for what its worth, the respected independent Levada Center survey recently reported that putins favorably rating has risen to at 6 the Central Bank Raised Interest rates sharply. The Finance Ministry Put in place Foreign Exchange controls, Government Spending has risen dramatically, all to create a military industrial economy these policies and the sanctions will create severe longterm costs for russias economy and society but slow stagnation is something a country can often bear far more easily than a sharp shock putin sees himself in a Take No Prisoners battle with the west he is often indicated that he would not shirk from using Tactical Nuclear weapons he has directed an ongoing and vast information war against key western nations, notably the United States, by one European Commission estimate, posts by accounts linked to the kremlin were viewed at least 16 billion times in the west in the first year of the ukraine war as the us considers, Banning Tiktok, its worth recognizing that the issue is not really who owns the platform, but how malign forces can use any platform to get their message out, make it viral, and undermine truth and facts President Biden has done many big things right in this war. He has rallied the western many nonwestern allies like japan, south korea, in singapore. He has provided moral and Material Support on a vast scale to kyiv republican opponents of aid to ukraine in embracing a policy that is deeply irresponsible and unsafe. One, that if it succeeds would make america week. And the world far more dangerous. And yet, biden and other western leaders must demonstrate that they too will do what it takes and that time is not on putins side. That means using Russias Central Bank reserves now frozen to help ukraine. It means accelerating delivery of every kind of weapon that kyiv needs the pressure that puts needs to feel is not longterm economic decline, but shortterm military setbacks, loss of conquer territory higher casualty rates, and a collapse and morale so cod francis president Emmanuel Macron is surely right that the central fact that must guide western and strategy is that putin cannot win if that means Greater Western involvement. Even military forces of some kind on the ground. Thats better than watching russian aggression succeed macron gave a speech this week in which he said that the conflict was existential for france and europe. The west can only gain the upper hand in this war if it truly believes this and acts on that belief go to cnn. Com slash free for linked to my Washington Post com this week. And lets get started it has been a big week in israel, an assault on rafah, the southernmost city of gaza, looms, despite President Joe Biden warning against such a move meanwhile, Senate Majority leader chuck schumer, one of israels most ardent supporters, has called for fresh elections in israel identifying Prime MinisterBenjamin Netanyahu as an obstacle to peace but that piece, which in schumers view must be a twostate solution has perhaps never felt further away. Joining me now to talk about all of this is shipley tell homie the unwerth said that professor for peace and development at the University Of Maryland and a Senior Fellow at brookings chablis. Tell me what youve viewed with studied are Public Opinion for decades and done many, many surveys. Tell me what you think happens if israel does do the assault on rafah well, the fear immediately is a humanitarian disaster on an even bigger scale than we have witnessed so far. We have. As you can see from what has been reported at taking place since the horrific hamas attack on israel on october 7. And then the bombardment of gaza, even after 100 days, they equivalent of three Nuclear Devices in terms of the kilotons of bombs that were dropped. The humanitarian disaster, its been on a scale. We have not really seen since world war ii. And so in that sense, if you have the concentration of refugees who were displaced from other parts of gaza strip into The Strip Along Rafah and adjacent to the egyptian border. Or you have over 1 Million People crowded there. If there is an assault without some way of getting people out of harms way, there would be huge disaster this would be something really on a scale. We have not seen before. And tell me about schumers speech. I thought it was a watershed in the sense of months of frustration the Biden Administration has had with the netanyahu government quietly counseling them to do things differently and be clear. Schumer does not freelance. I assume that this was vetted by the white house does it does it . Signals something new policy for the United States are much more vocal Public Policy of opposition to the netanyahu government hey, Charlie Signal that obviously the Biden Administration, which has been under tremendous attacks for doing nothing to stop the fighting. As you know a lot of the democratic constituents have been pushing the list striation. The administration is finally realizing that this could even cause the president and reelection the israelis commence operations and rafat, the president has declared to be a red line for them to do without Assuring Safety of civilians then that will be the real desk. Its not about nothing in the final thing i want to say on this while nothing, yeah, obviously it seemed to be an obstacle even by israelis as you know, his popularity and israel is still low as wanted to a columnist for our splitted, its the number of people who who who backed him now are smaller number of people who believe Alice Presley is still alive. Its very, very small, but the israeli public it does not want to end the fighting. The israeli public is not supporting a ceasefire. So lets keep that in mind. That the problem is if you isolate and you make, you stay, its all about nothing. The aho, and it turns out that you even need to get rid of methane. Yahoo, you still have a problem of what might happen in gaza has to go beyond individuals, beyond israeli politics. It has to be a much state policy in the current Foreign Affairs, you have an important essay which says everyone now talks about the twostate solution again, as the larger solution to this problem israel and the palestinians. But you say the actually the twostate solution is at this point a mirage. Can you explain briefly what you mean . Yes. I have been a supporter of two states long before it was popular in fact, i lead a personally led efforts to bring his relative closeness together Behind The Scenes Before Oslo and after oslo, because i believed in it. But you know, after the collapse of negotiation and do thousand quarter century ago, we started saying its five minutes to midnight, produce dates, five minutes to midnight produce days. And we we we wake up one morning and its very quartercentury. We still think saying five minutes to midnight. And in the meanwhile, from 2002 now, the prospect is de, diminished every single day, largely because of the expansion of israeli settlements in the west bank that have made it practically impossible to contemplate a contiguous whole thing and state largely because of shifting israeli australian politics, israel is moved way to the right. Nothing yoho aside, Public Opinion, in israel has soured on two States PalestinianPublic Opinion has been somewhat more supportive, still soured on the twostage, but they dont trust the us. And now you are talking about a horrific violence on a scale that has scared both the israelis and the palestinians. They see it as an existential threat. You look at Public Opinion now, its even less supportive of two states than it was before. And the invocation of two states even before october 7, was really serving more as its smoke stream to divert detention. Probably reality of over 56 years of one people dominating another with policies have no freedom, imagining that this is only a temporary State Of Affairs of occupation it was a lifetime with no end in sight chablis, Tell Me Pleasure to have you on thank you next on gps, the house voted this week for a bill that could eventually ban the popular app tiktok in america. We will have a spirited debate about whether that is best for the country or goes against americas basic values. When we come United States of scandal with jake tapper. Tonight at nine on cnn, meet avocados, bestselling green mattress made with Certified Organic cotton, wool. And latex, plus pocketed coils to support your bodys natural curve for cool and restorative sleep. Featuring a one year in Home Sleep Trial complete your bedroom away with organic pillows and bedding shop today with avocado green. Proud supporter of 1 for the planet my friends call me sam. 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