Afford four more years of Donald Trump. As Jack Smith shows the country new evidence alleging how the former president tried to undo democracy. And Melania Trump, silent for most of the campaign, now speaking out on one of the most contentious issues in the race. In a new memoir and video, she takes a position directly at odds with her Husbands Party. But the Government Shouldnt tell the women what to do when it comes to abortion. Our manu raju, lets go behind the headlines and Inside Politics with the campaign. A major Port Strike threatens to unravel economic progress that is critical to the harris reelection argument. And then theres this. Rockets again flying in the Middle East. An Overnight Strike by israel in beirut, killing at least nine people is just the latest episode in a week filled with escalation towards all out war. Lets go straight to cnns arlette saenz, who is in florida waiting for the arrival of President Biden. Arlette, the president spoke at the White House that the White House right now is dealing with this trio of challenges, both at home and abroad. And before President Biden left to travel here to florida to survey the damage after Hurricane Helene, he was pressed on how he thinks israel should respond to Iranians Barrage of missiles that were fired at israel. Just earlier this week. Now biden has already said he does not think that israel should target irans nuclear facilities, but hes not ruling out the possibility that they could target oil refineries. Take a listen would you support israel striking Irans Oil facilities . Sir, were in discussion. I think i think that would be a little. Anyway, the plan to allow israel to strike back against iran. First of all, we dont allow israel. We advise israel and theres nothing going to happen today. Well talk about that later officials have maintained constant contact with the israelis as theyre trying to advise them to take a proportional response to iran at a time when the u. S. Is concerned about this conflict widening, even further. And the situation in the Middle East which also has domestic implications here at home, is playing out just a few weeks before Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump Face Off in the election. And it comes at a time when theres other challenges that the White House is grappling with. There is the Port Strike, which could have economic repercussions that theyd have to deal with if it continues on for a long time and then there is the Recovery Efforts after Hurricane Helene. That is where President Bidens immediate focus is today he, any minute now is set to take an aerial tour of the big Bend Area of florida. That is a region that was hit very hard by Hurricane Helene when it made impact here about a week ago. This is actually the second day in a row that President Biden is touring these devastated areas across the southeast. The president will be landing here in perry, where i am, and then travel over to keaton beach, where he is set to see the devastation in that residential community. Many of the homes there completely destroyed. Now, President Biden is not expected to appear with governor Ron Desantis here in the state today. The White House did not say if the two had spoken, but he has spoken with Georgia Governor brian kemp, as biden is preparing to head to that state a bit later this afternoon. The White House right now is really focused on trying to show that they have their arms wrapped around the Response Efforts in Hurricane Helene as so many communities across the southeast have been devastated. All right from perry, florida, where the president is set to arrive to survey the damage there on the ground. Thank you for that report. And i want to bring in my excellent panel of reporters. Cnns Jeff Zeleny Margaret Talev of axios and Laura Barronlopez of pbs newshour. Good to see you all. So we are we are done now with the parts of the campaign that we knew were going to happen. The debates, the conventions and now we are full on October Surprises, if you will. We have what happened and whats happened in florida the tension escalating, tension in the Middle East, strikes among Port Workers this is this could this change whats been a very very remarkably steady and even race . Look, its hard for me to imagine one single defining event being big enough or consequential enough to change the campaign in ways that others havent. Look back to july an Assassination Attempt the change of the democratic nominee. I mean, this race has been filled with sort of one Whiplash Moment after another. So i do not believe that there will be one singular event that will change the Trajectory And Break open. This really stubbornly close race however, so many pieces now, so many challenges now are tied together. I mean the Hurricane Effort is going to show the effectiveness of the government. So thats why we see President Biden there. Vice president harris already visited is going back to North Carolina. The former president visited. Hes going back. You have to wonder if some of these officials are going to be like, okay you know, send help and money, but stay away. Yeah, but at this point, this is going to become a yes. Its seven Battleground States, but its even fights for swing counties inside these Battleground States. Its so close. So the campaigns are focused on a trying to get their supporters out and be those sliver of persuadable voters there. But for all the talk of the October Surprise, id like history. The phrase was coined in the 1980 campaign by ronald reagans campaign manager, worrying about Jimmy Carter pulling an October Surprise by getting the hostages released that would help him. Of course, that did not happen during the campaign. Every campaign since then, i think its an overused phrase. I would be surprised if theres one singular surprise that could shake up this surprise. If theres another October Surprise but heres a surprise we have actually a trip down Memory Lane about some of the things that did occur in the final weeks of the campaign and what impact did they have . Watch 24 years ago, i was apprehended in kennebunkport, maine, for a the Stock Markets suffer historic losses. There are 47 of the people who will vote for the president No Matter What. During i think we also saw whats brightest in america. You can do anything, whatever you want. Grab them by the they have discovered new emails for ruth bader ginsburg, who was far more than merely a Supreme Court justice, has died. I mean, summer, september. So, september. Surprise but still close enough to the campaign. But it just you know, theyre out of your control and you know, rbg dying that changes the dynamic of the of the race. Hurricane sandy in 2012, when obama was with chris christie, the infamous Bro Hug on the tarmac, Mitt Romney was so happy about that. Yeah, i think that montage just goes to show that sometimes the October Surprises make a difference and sometimes they dont. One of the big differences, certainly since the reagan era, is that the October Surprise voting happened on election day, and now you do have early voting in so many places in so many states already. What is it, a half a dozen states already are in the process of Voting Ballots are out. People are making their decisions smaller and smaller. It might be 10 , it might be 3 . So in so many ways, this election is baked in the cake. The reason why these unforeseen events or uncontrollable events, i mean, what happens on the World Stage or with Mother Nature is beyond the control of any sitting president from either party, No Matter What they tell you on the stump. But if it is down to a half a Percentage Point in a key state, sure, that could matter. That could be the thing that tips it. And look at just how steady this race has become. Just to get a sense of the polling. August and september, how things are just really within the margin of error in almost all of these key races. Only this abc ipsos poll from september was outside of the margin of error of about five points. Harris over trump, Everything Else was pretty much within the margin of error. And even this race is so razor thin it could really go either way. Yeah, to margarets point, so many people have already made their decision and there is only a small segment of the population that has not decided. And i was just in arizona and nevada, just got back last not necessarily paying attention to the escalation in the Middle East. Its not really Foreign Policy is typically not what voters ultimately make their decision on. Now, when it comes to the disasters across the south, the southern states, to me, the impact that it could have on the most is those specific states. So North Carolina georgia and how voters ultimately vote in those two Swing States and whether they vote right or whether they vote because a source in North Carolina was just texting me saying that theyre concerned about the ability to even conduct the election in parts of the state that are ravaged the most. So that is something that would impact peoples votes potentially in those specific states more than the rest of the country. And you mentioned Foreign Policy as this is escalating between iran and israel question from a Cnn Poll just out recently about who you trust. More on Foreign Policy. Trump actually is up 47 to 40, but just 2 of likely voters in that poll said that it was their top issue. So how would they deal with the issue of iran and what is happening here . Trump was asked about this just before we saw some of the more and more recent strikes about how he would deal with iran deal make a deal with them. Now, after everything thats happened, if you make a deal with who, make a deal with who would you try to make a deal with iran of some kind . If you were reelected . Sure, i would do that. Yeah, i believe in i believe in getting you know, it, doesnt it doesnt matter. I have a i have a great memory, but its a memory that wants to serve the people. We have to make a deal because the consequences are impossible. We have to make a deal. Make a deal he withdrew from the iran nuclear deal so what . What the former president wants people to think in the messaging is that um, The World is in chaos and thats somehow the sitting president and his vice when he was the president , um, you know, the the current exact current situations werent going on. Um, the polling suggests that actually many americans do buy that argument, but they are also the americans largely, that already want to support Donald Trump. So i think again, where it really matters is in that crossover camp. And for those voters, are they more concerned with that than they are with reproductive rights or the future of the american economy . But instability is not Vice President Harriss Friend here in this, she was hoping for much calmer waters at this point in the Middle East. Yeah well see what happens and how it affects voters in this razor thin race. All right. A sentence that is hard to believe, or at least at one point, it was Liz Cheney hits the Campaign Trail Today for a democrat. 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This is cnn later today, one of the big name republicans who has endorsed Kamala Harris is joining her on the Campaign Trail. Thats Liz Cheney, who will be out with her in the crucial Battleground State of wisconsin. Its all part of an effort to move undecided voters away from Donald Trump ahead of the election. Cnns Eva Mccann is live in ripon, wisconsin. So eva walk us through what you know about this event and the significance about where its happening well, we are in ripon wisconsin. This is known as the birthplace of the Republican Party and it is here where the Vice President will make a direct appeal to republican in independent voters. And the message will be quite clear. She will argue that a Harris Administration would be principally concerned upholding the Rule Of Law and democracy, and that even though these voters may have some disagreements with her on policy matters it is these fundamentals that are most important. She will have former congresswoman Liz Cheney longtime republican, up on that stage with her tonight here to bolster that message. The campaign also investing in this strategy with a new ad featuring a man that supported the former president in 2016 and 2020. Take a listen. Look, i voted for Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020. I thought he was going to help hard working people, but it turns out hes all about himself. Trump cares for his cronies, people that are very wealthy. He will not lower my taxes in wisconsin where they are touting this message they have republican surrogates fanned out across the next four days across the Battleground States. But listen, not all democrats think that this is the best strategy. Some democrats tell me that they think that the campaign should be investing instead in shoring up the base of the party and key Constituencies Core to the coalition by comparison, the Trump Campaign Isnt employing something similar. They do have democrats, former democrats on the Campaign Trail for them. But there is no democrats for trump equivalent. But listen, i spoke to wisconsin democrats here and they endorse this strategy they say that it is actually one that they use cycle after cycle. Ripon of county but they still rely on the democrats here to turn out the vote and to ultimately win in the state yeah, manu could cut down their loss, narrow down that margin. Thats their hope. At least well see if Liz Cheney makes any difference at all. Even mccain, who is live for us on the ground there in wisconsin. Thank you. Panel is back. So lets assess this. There was some good news for harris. According to a Marquette Law School poll that recently came out that has her leading by 11 points among likely independent voters in wisconsin. Well see. Its outsi