Contributors of this report will talk on u. S. Approach to Counter China based on this report. So now introductions. This is picture i took. The rise of china and its attitude towards the world, challenged by chinas ambition. Vice president mike pence spoke at Hudson Institute, and this is very important, and said beijing government approach using Political Economic and military tools as propaganda to advance its interest and benefit its interest in the United States. So given that the United States need to win the competition, cooperation will arise in likeminded countries is key because historically number of Political Partners has been a deciding factor in the geopolitical struggle. For example, the wild, wild west the winning side comprise but the losing side was composed of just four. During the u. S. Soviet cold war, 54 versus 26 eric so these facts indicate that the number of supporters correlate to the likelihood of winning the competition. Therefore, maintaining improving collaboration with likeminded countries will be key for the United States. It is of increasingly importance to identify and understand those cooperating. This is table of content of this report. This report includes the view studying the United States, the vietnam australia, india, sri lanka, british, france, eu, canada and japan. The view from the analysis indicates that all countries in the indopacific realizes a problem created by rising china. However, there are different types of opinion about how to tackle the situation with china. The United States, india, australia and japan have chosen a very strong stance towards china. The british, france, eu and canada are trying to cooperate with United States effort as u. S. As another hand sri lanka are worrying about china of the u. S. China competition. How can parties fill this gap . That is my policy recommendatio recommendation. There are three policy recommendations, security, economic, and power. The first with a security. Use this Case Scenario to demonstrate various kind of u. S. Intervention in a variety of situations. These countries like vietnam, singapore or sri lanka are worrying about one situation. Even if these countries choose a strong stance towards china, these countries are concerned that u. S. And other likeminded countries will not support an enough. Thus, the u. S. Should demonstrate this case a a to indicate what kind of intervention the u. S. Might do in various situations. Economy, good new Economic Development system is not dependent only on china. The u. S. Need to assure it arrives in likeminded countries, will not stop the Economic Development of those siding with the u. S. The economic structure still needs to change. The u. S. And its allies and likeminded countries should relocate their factory from china, and find new market elsewhere. Transpacific partnership, japan, eu joint infrastructure products, japan africa close quarter and use japan australia using these projects, u. S. Likeminded countries need to create new Economic Development systems. Third one, power. Accept a new approach that combines security and economics. The problem of china is caused in part by the image that china is rising power in the u. S. Is declining power. However, if the u. S. Had both security and economic, however, it is still very, very powerful. For example, when we talk about safeguarding against he could try to build stronger naval power, but under the current budget it is not feasible to prepare to safeguard communications. From 20002017 china acquired at least 40 new submarines while the u. S. Acquired 15. Even though u. S. Is far better that china wants. Number sometimes very important. So case in point, india, uae cooperation demonstrates this new idea. In 2018 indy and uae Side Agreement allowing the uae to set up Strategic OilStorage Facilities in india. This agreement benefit both parties. India can use storage oil emergency. Uae even if china cannot go through the strait of hormuz. Uae can get order from the storage. This economic effort helped communication. U. S. Side, this method to do with china threat to the communications. Countries siding with u. S. Could set of strategic facilities in likeminded countries throughout the indopacific and the shared oil storage in emergencies. [inaudible] it would be hard to threaten country siding with the u. S. This could assure strong image of the u. S. Security system. Thus, u. S. Side will wait competition with china and corroboration with u. S. Allies and likeminded countries including singapore, australia, india, sri lanka, uk, france, eu, canada and japan will be key. Of course other likeminded countries also will be key. So now is the time, make America Great leader again. Thank thank you very much. Introduction is finished and a Panel Discussion will start. The chair at Hudson Institute dr. Patrick cronin will lead the Panel Discussion. Would you please help me. [applause] let me congratulate doctor Trinity Forum actual presentation. You can read the report and theres lot of material and a lot of brett to the discussion about these likeminded countries and how theyre they e pursuing security in the indopacific probably. Im patrick cronin, asianpacific chair here at the house is a too. We have a distinguished panel to discuss a variety of views so im going to dig right in by just offering a few initial con eds from a u. S. Perspective, my own perspective. And let me try to avalon on the larger questions rather than give you talking points here. The first point is simply to say that strategy is something that is an overused word. I overuse it. Its overused in this town. Its not often actually meant literally in terms of providing a real strategy. Theres been questions about the coheres of china strategic approach. Does china really have a coherent strategy next my colleague and i written pretty hardhitting report last month called total competition in which we certainly imply they have a coherent strategy but even with questions about how coherent it is progressing to try to to look at the different facets of what is a very broad based strategy that is trying to allow china to get its way by only short of war. Theres no doubt that unfortunately over the last decade or so china especially under xi jinping has been more assertive in the region. I i think theres been an absene of significant cost imposition on beijing, and the lack of concerted push back but i think this panel, this report effect is an indicator that times are changing. Theres a gathering reaction slows to chinas assertiveness and one that the chinese cant blame solely on the narrative propaganda point that americans try to contain china and prevent its rise, its rightful centerstage on the global set of stage. The reality is no, theres a lot of concern about the region and around the world about chinas actions and china will fit in. Now of course china and xi jinping are both on the back foot. Were not wishing that Chinese People feel a special time when theyre fighting the shared epidemic in the coronavirus. But theres no doubt this point of economy in china and mismanagement of information in particular about that spread of the virus is really calling questions about is china really the big power that it even aims to be in the 2020s . Its not starting up a decade on a high point. I do want to say from a u. S. Policy perspective, the Trump Administration deserves credit for a couple of things on indopacific strategy. First, simply trying to codify indopacific strategy and bring india and bring the two oceans, the two great oceans as Prime Minister abe and india and japan talked about years ago into a more strategic focus. I think this has been a very helpful enlargement of the Playing Field including when you bring indopacific and it just came back from paris having rich discussion but europeans on this, message make indian ocean part of the broader strategic Playing Field it allows europe to it in that discussion and so anyways because europeans see the direct interest. Yes, france huge equity inside asiapacific, but all of europe and see the wide path we think about indopacific about the equities and its very important. I think the other thing the Trump Administration did although they didnt always give the Obama Administration credit but the pivot, the balance of asia which was underresourced by conceptual framework of the rebels have given credit to process on this issue. I think this is an evolution of american thinking in this entry about the enlargement of the indopacific and why this is going to matter so much in a 21st century. So i think thats very important. The free and open indopacific of the indopacific strategy report that was issued by the pentagon last may which was followed up by a state Department Report to show a certain whole of government sort of approach, these of the right principles in that report, in my view. Sovereignty is suspected to matter a countries size. That should be a principle we should all rally around. International law and norms respected and upheld we should all uphold that norm. Trade is free, fair and reciprocal. A little more contentious because you get into the definis of what exactly is fair, what is reciprocal. But its the right basic principle about which we can have a discussion. And disputes are resolved peacefully. The u. S. Has been very heavy on the defensive side of our approach to the region. It was Randy Schriver last week said america basically did repeal without replacement came to the transpacific partnership. That is, we walked away from the big trade economic package with that come up with a quick substitute for it. We didnt follow up with bilateral free trade agreements and weve had trouble building the kind of architecture and finance that we actually start to see accumulated terms of things like the finance corporation. That may be about to change but its taken us three years as a country to kind of fill in that economic basket of engagement in the region. Thats critically important all the countries here. But the three lines of effort and indopacific strategy report from dod, increasing flow felt of the joint force great power competition, thats something the United States needs to do to reassert itself to make sure presence has credibility and can deter but its not also with the region wants to hear from us. Yes officials wanted of the United States have that capability to what youre about economic engagement, how were going to manage the china relationship and thats why being too successful on the aspect without also marrying it up with some of the economic shows you the strategic challenges the u. S. Faces to have balanced strategy that sustainable and compelling. The of the facets of the dot report on building relations with emerging partners and strengthening alliances, yes, absolutely we need to be doing that but america messaging on that as you know is not always consistent. The third point encouraging us allies and partners and likeminded countries to cooperate with one another, this panel underscores exactly that point. The doctor gets credit for organizing, hurting the cats of the region to try to talk about why we do share some interest. Theres ample room for improvement. I do want to just say briefly that i can three things the u. S. Needs to do better. We need to define our approach to china a more compelling fashion. By that, a more holistic fashion. All of our countrys rely on chart as part of the global economy, even though were all at risk to predatory procedures by china, not constrained by the rules that we are constrained by. So strategic competition, yes, the Trump Administration gets that right. That is a priority because the United States woke up after a decade of sleeping on this job, and we were cooperating as john lee says industry report, while they were competing. As exact right. There was a natural backlash of the Trump Administration pursued here in terms of needing to put a part of strategic competition. By strategic competition is not the whole of the is china relationship. We know that from the trade deal deal. We know that from ongoing talks with china. So we need to be a a little moe surgical about what were talking about when were talking but competition with china. Talking about competition at the same time we have a cooperative relationship. They both coexist and it will continue to both coexist, thats part of this bound competition. The same thing with decoupling. As soon as people want to say we will decouple with china, what exactly are we talking about . If were talking about 5g, talked about artificial intelligence, talking about the hightech sectors in the made in china 2025 strategy, 2015 continue strategy to put together, yes, we do need to disentangle from that and make sure were protecting our National Security in the digital age but at the same time we are not decoupling and divorcing our economies wholly the way that some want to jump to that conclusion. First point is to make sure the u. S. Going forward better jeffrey h what were trying to achieve with china. What we are not trying to achieve. That would make it for a more compelling strategy to rally others about because thats what we share. We should not total decouple. Wisher protecting our National Security and our sovereignty and rules, you know, while trying to figure out a way to cooperate with the china. Secondly, we need to bring to the table more trade and investment to develop as i tald about. Again i think we are seeing some boob it here with the Development Finance corporation, the private sector, alex cord 82 unprecedented degree of, well talk about them more in future. Third point is we need to better answer to where Southeast Asia fits, over korea fits it. There are good answers to this. Were about to hear from Richard Heydarian, but it do think the original fear here is were so successful in growing this u. S. India relationship. I have seen the dialup dialogh is a big annual regional Strategic Dialogues now. Theres a good article this last week in sorted chronologically maps, annual dialogue about how we went from trilateral cooperation to quadrilateral cooperation. Its been a map of the growing expanded likeminded cooperatio cooperation. Unfortunately from his Southeast Asia perspective, that looks menacing because all idea of Southeast Asia is these are smaller countries that fear big powers fighting over them or fighting in the area. And if they quadrilateral sort Strategic Dialogue or relationship is too successful, it may jeopardize the sovereignty, i thought of Southeast Asian countries. So thats the concern. It doesnt have to and, in fact, most Southeast Asian all maritime Southeast Asian country leaders except for one, richard, right now, want more u. S. Engagement. Will talk about which one that is. But i think im hopeful, im hopeful. Although although your present dozens of americans, we love filipinas and filipinos love americans i think a lot in common there. I think though like i did countries bring a certain not only capacity, but also speed and pace at which Southeast Asias institutions, central as they remain, asean cannot move very quickly when youre the lowest common denominator approach. So in cambodia can undermine the communique that talks about the South China Sea or secretly sign a deal to allow china access to the sea of thailand, thats not a very fastpaced cooperation were talking about, to keep a favorable balance of power. But with india, europe, australia, japan, others, we can do a lot toward Southeast Asia strategic autonomy and growth and prosperity so i will leave it there. I will now begin thank of this great panel because my last thought here is our shared aim should be not to contain china. That is beijings propaganda point. A lot of chinese believe it now because theyve been selling themselves on this. We are not trying to contain china, no, that shouldnt be our aim. We are trying to deny any single power exclusive control over the South China Sea, over the indopacific, and china has a shared interest in that actually. They wont see at now but eventually maybe it will. Without any further do i want to introduce Richard Heydarian who is a resident analyst among many other things at gma network which if you dont know is a large commercial Tv Radio Network in the philippines. Use author of many things including the recent book the indopacific of , trump, china,e new struggle. Richard has some powerpoint slides. He will go up to the podium here. Richard. Thank you very much, patrick. Its a pleasure to be here again and thank you very much for arranging this and the publication. I would like to also add that we filipinos love the United St